Spatial Attribution of Temporal Variability in Global Land-Atmosphere CO2 Exchange Using a Model-Data Integration Framework
Research output: Contribution to journal › Research article › Contributed › peer-review
Contributors
Abstract
The spatial contribution to the global land-atmosphere carbon dioxide (CO2) exchange is crucial in understanding and projecting the global carbon cycle, yet different studies diverge on the dominant regions. Informing land models with observational data is a promising way to reduce the parameter and structural uncertainties and advance our understanding. Here, we develop a parsimonious diagnostic process-based model of land carbon cycles, constraining parameters with observation-based products. We compare CO2 flux estimates from our model with observational constraints and Trends in Net Land-Atmosphere Carbon Exchange (TRENDY) model ensemble to show that our model reasonably reproduces the seasonality of net ecosystem exchange (NEE) and gross primary productivity (GPP) and interannual variability (IAV) of NEE. Finally, we use the developed model, TRENDY models, and observational constraints to attribute variability in global NEE and GPP to regional variability. The attribution analysis confirms the dominance of Northern temperate and boreal regions in the seasonality of CO2 fluxes. Regarding NEE IAV, we identify a significant contribution from tropical savanna regions as previously perceived. Furthermore, we highlight that tropical humid regions are also identified as at least equally relevant contributors as semi-arid regions. At the same time, the largest uncertainty among ensemble members of NEE constraint and TRENDY models in the tropical humid regions underscore the necessity of better process understanding and more observations in these regions. Overall, our study identifies tropical humid regions as key regions for global land-atmosphere CO2 exchanges and the inter-model spread of its modeling.
Details
| Original language | English |
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| Article number | e2024MS004479 |
| Journal | Journal of advances in modeling earth systems |
| Volume | 17 |
| Issue number | 3 |
| Publication status | Published - Mar 2025 |
| Peer-reviewed | Yes |
External IDs
| ORCID | /0000-0003-0363-9697/work/183564761 |
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Keywords
Research priority areas of TU Dresden
DFG Classification of Subject Areas according to Review Boards
Sustainable Development Goals
ASJC Scopus subject areas
Keywords
- attribution, carbon dioxide, interannual variability, land-atmosphere interaction, model-data integration