Spatial Attribution of Temporal Variability in Global Land-Atmosphere CO2 Exchange Using a Model-Data Integration Framework

Research output: Contribution to journalResearch articleContributedpeer-review

Contributors

  • H. Lee - , Junior Professorship in Environmental Remote Sensing, Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry (Author)
  • Martin Jung - , Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry (Author)
  • N. Carvalhais - , Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, NOVA University Lisbon, Michael Stifel Center Jena for Data-driven and Simulation Science (Author)
  • Markus Reichstein - , Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Michael Stifel Center Jena for Data-driven and Simulation Science (Author)
  • M. Forkel - , Junior Professorship in Environmental Remote Sensing (Author)
  • A. A. Bloom - , California Institute of Technology (CALTECH) (Author)
  • J. Pacheco-Labrador - , Spanish National Research Council (CSIC) (Author)
  • S. Koirala - , Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry (Author)

Abstract

The spatial contribution to the global land-atmosphere carbon dioxide (CO2) exchange is crucial in understanding and projecting the global carbon cycle, yet different studies diverge on the dominant regions. Informing land models with observational data is a promising way to reduce the parameter and structural uncertainties and advance our understanding. Here, we develop a parsimonious diagnostic process-based model of land carbon cycles, constraining parameters with observation-based products. We compare CO2 flux estimates from our model with observational constraints and Trends in Net Land-Atmosphere Carbon Exchange (TRENDY) model ensemble to show that our model reasonably reproduces the seasonality of net ecosystem exchange (NEE) and gross primary productivity (GPP) and interannual variability (IAV) of NEE. Finally, we use the developed model, TRENDY models, and observational constraints to attribute variability in global NEE and GPP to regional variability. The attribution analysis confirms the dominance of Northern temperate and boreal regions in the seasonality of CO2 fluxes. Regarding NEE IAV, we identify a significant contribution from tropical savanna regions as previously perceived. Furthermore, we highlight that tropical humid regions are also identified as at least equally relevant contributors as semi-arid regions. At the same time, the largest uncertainty among ensemble members of NEE constraint and TRENDY models in the tropical humid regions underscore the necessity of better process understanding and more observations in these regions. Overall, our study identifies tropical humid regions as key regions for global land-atmosphere CO2 exchanges and the inter-model spread of its modeling.

Details

Original languageEnglish
Article numbere2024MS004479
JournalJournal of advances in modeling earth systems
Volume17
Issue number3
Publication statusPublished - Mar 2025
Peer-reviewedYes

External IDs

ORCID /0000-0003-0363-9697/work/183564761

Keywords

Research priority areas of TU Dresden

DFG Classification of Subject Areas according to Review Boards

Keywords

  • attribution, carbon dioxide, interannual variability, land-atmosphere interaction, model-data integration