Volatility modelling in a Markov-switching environment: two Ornstein–Uhlenbeck-related approaches

Research output: Contribution to journalResearch articleContributedpeer-review

Contributors

Abstract

We introduce generalisations of the COGARCH model of Klüppelberg et al. (J. Appl. Probab. 41:601–622 2004) and of the volatility and price model of Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard (J. R. Stat. Soc., Ser. B Stat. Methodol. 63:167–241 2001) to a Markov-switching environment. These generalisations incorporate exogenous jumps of the volatility at the times of a regime switch. Both models are studied within the framework of Markov-modulated generalised Ornstein–Uhlenbeck processes which allows deriving conditions for stationarity, formulas for moments as well as the autocovariance structure of volatility and price process. It turns out that both models inherit various properties of the original models and therefore are able to capture basic stylised facts of financial time series such as uncorrelated log-returns, correlated squared log-returns and non-existence of higher moments in the COGARCH case.

Details

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1109-1138
Number of pages30
JournalFinance and stochastics
Volume29
Issue number4
Publication statusPublished - Oct 2025
Peer-reviewedYes

External IDs

ORCID /0000-0002-9999-7589/work/194253706

Keywords

Keywords

  • Continuous-time GARCH model, Lévy processes, Markov-modulated GOU process, Regime switching, Stochastic volatility