Volatility modelling in a Markov-switching environment: two Ornstein–Uhlenbeck-related approaches

Publikation: Beitrag in FachzeitschriftForschungsartikelBeigetragenBegutachtung

Abstract

We introduce generalisations of the COGARCH model of Klüppelberg et al. (J. Appl. Probab. 41:601–622 2004) and of the volatility and price model of Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard (J. R. Stat. Soc., Ser. B Stat. Methodol. 63:167–241 2001) to a Markov-switching environment. These generalisations incorporate exogenous jumps of the volatility at the times of a regime switch. Both models are studied within the framework of Markov-modulated generalised Ornstein–Uhlenbeck processes which allows deriving conditions for stationarity, formulas for moments as well as the autocovariance structure of volatility and price process. It turns out that both models inherit various properties of the original models and therefore are able to capture basic stylised facts of financial time series such as uncorrelated log-returns, correlated squared log-returns and non-existence of higher moments in the COGARCH case.

Details

OriginalspracheEnglisch
Seiten (von - bis)1109-1138
Seitenumfang30
FachzeitschriftFinance and stochastics
Jahrgang29
Ausgabenummer4
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - Okt. 2025
Peer-Review-StatusJa

Externe IDs

ORCID /0000-0002-9999-7589/work/194253706

Schlagworte

Schlagwörter

  • Continuous-time GARCH model, Lévy processes, Markov-modulated GOU process, Regime switching, Stochastic volatility