Real-time Destination and ETA Prediction for Maritime Traffic

Research output: Contribution to conferencesPaperContributedpeer-review

Contributors

Abstract

In this paper, we present our approach for solving the DEBS Grand Challenge 2018. The challenge asks to provide a prediction for (i) a destination and the (ii) arrival time of ships in a streaming-fashion using Geo-spatial data in the maritime context. Novel aspects of our approach include the use of ensemble learning based on Random Forest, Gradient Boosting Decision Trees (GBDT), XGBoost Trees and Extremely Randomized Trees (ERT) in order to provide a prediction for a destination while for the arrival time, we propose the use of Feed-forward Neural Networks. In our evaluation, we were able to achieve an accuracy of 97% for the port destination classification problem and 90% (in mins) for the ETA prediction.

Details

Original languageEnglish
Pages198-201
Number of pages4
Publication statusPublished - 2018
Peer-reviewedYes

Conference

Title12th ACM International Conference on Distributed and Event-based Systems
Abbreviated titleDEBS '18
Conference number
Duration25 - 29 January 2018
Degree of recognitionInternational event
Location
CityHamilton
CountryNew Zealand

Keywords

Research priority areas of TU Dresden

DFG Classification of Subject Areas according to Review Boards

Keywords

  • Destination Prediction, ETA Prediction, Event Stream Processing, Geo-spatial Analysis, Machine Learning, ESP