Markov-modulated generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes and an application in risk theory

Research output: Contribution to journalResearch articleContributedpeer-review

Abstract

By embedding a Markov-modulated random recurrence equation in continuous time, we derive the Markovmodulated generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. This process turns out to be the unique solution of a stochastic differential equation driven by a bivariate Markov-additive process. We present this stochastic differential equation as well as its solution explicitely in terms of the driving Markov-additive process. Moreover, we give necessary and sufficient conditions for strict stationarity of the Markov-modulated generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, and prove that its stationary distribution is given by the distribution of a certain exponential functional of Markovadditive processes. Finally, we propose a Markov-modulated risk model with investment that generalizes Paulsen’s risk process to a Markov-switching environment, and derive a formula for the ruin probability in this risk model.

Details

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1309–1339
Number of pages31
JournalBernoulli : official journal of the Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability
Volume28
Issue number2
Publication statusPublished - May 2022
Peer-reviewedYes

External IDs

Scopus 85127638567
ORCID /0000-0002-9999-7589/work/142238019

Keywords

DFG Classification of Subject Areas according to Review Boards

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Keywords

  • Exponential functional, Generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, Lévy process, Markov additive process, Markov-modulated random recurrence equation, Markov-switching model, Risk theory, Ruin probability, Stationary process

Library keywords