Investigations and Analysis of Levee Failures during recent Floods in Saxony and Saxony-Anhalt (Germany)

Research output: Contribution to journalConference articleContributedpeer-review

Contributors

  • T. Heyer - , TUD Dresden University of Technology (Author)
  • J. Stamm - , TUD Dresden University of Technology (Author)

Abstract

In recent years the German federal states of Saxony and Saxony-Anhalt were hit be several extreme floods (2002, 2006, 2010, 2013) leading to enormous damages in the range of billions of Euros. While the flood 2002 generated highest ever observed water levels mainly in Saxony, the flood 2013 generated maximum values at many gauges in Saxony-Anhalt. As a consequence many of the technical flood protection facilities were damaged and about 150 levee failures occurred during these floods. Against this background most of the levee failures were investigated by our institute and all available data was administered in a "levee failure database". Besides the possibility of conducting a general descriptive analysis regarding the failures, this database also enables us to estimate the local failure probability of levees in future floods by using the method of logistic regression ("levee failure logit model'). Within this article, some results of the failure analysis of levees in Saxony and Saxony-Anhalt are presented. and the application of the levee failure logit model is demonstrated.

Details

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)401-410
Number of pages10
JournalInternational Symposium on Water Management and Hydraulic Engineering
Publication statusPublished - 2015
Peer-reviewedYes
Externally publishedYes

Conference

Title14th International Symposium on Water Management and Hydraulic Engineering 2015
Duration8 - 10 September 2015
CityBrno
CountryCzech Republic

External IDs

ORCID /0000-0002-3729-0166/work/142248398
ORCID /0000-0001-6913-0354/work/151435719

Keywords

Research priority areas of TU Dresden

DFG Classification of Subject Areas according to Review Boards

Subject groups, research areas, subject areas according to Destatis

Sustainable Development Goals

Keywords

  • Levee failure, Logistic regression, Reliability, Risk management, River floods