Investigations and Analysis of Levee Failures during recent Floods in Saxony and Saxony-Anhalt (Germany)

Publikation: Beitrag in FachzeitschriftKonferenzartikelBeigetragenBegutachtung

Beitragende

  • T. Heyer - , Technische Universität Dresden (Autor:in)
  • J. Stamm - , Technische Universität Dresden (Autor:in)

Abstract

In recent years the German federal states of Saxony and Saxony-Anhalt were hit be several extreme floods (2002, 2006, 2010, 2013) leading to enormous damages in the range of billions of Euros. While the flood 2002 generated highest ever observed water levels mainly in Saxony, the flood 2013 generated maximum values at many gauges in Saxony-Anhalt. As a consequence many of the technical flood protection facilities were damaged and about 150 levee failures occurred during these floods. Against this background most of the levee failures were investigated by our institute and all available data was administered in a "levee failure database". Besides the possibility of conducting a general descriptive analysis regarding the failures, this database also enables us to estimate the local failure probability of levees in future floods by using the method of logistic regression ("levee failure logit model'). Within this article, some results of the failure analysis of levees in Saxony and Saxony-Anhalt are presented. and the application of the levee failure logit model is demonstrated.

Details

OriginalspracheEnglisch
Seiten (von - bis)401-410
Seitenumfang10
FachzeitschriftInternational Symposium on Water Management and Hydraulic Engineering
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - 2015
Peer-Review-StatusJa
Extern publiziertJa

Konferenz

Titel14th International Symposium on Water Management and Hydraulic Engineering 2015
Dauer8 - 10 September 2015
StadtBrno
LandTschechische Republik

Externe IDs

ORCID /0000-0002-3729-0166/work/142248398
ORCID /0000-0001-6913-0354/work/151435719

Schlagworte

Forschungsprofillinien der TU Dresden

DFG-Fachsystematik nach Fachkollegium

Fächergruppen, Lehr- und Forschungsbereiche, Fachgebiete nach Destatis

Ziele für nachhaltige Entwicklung

Schlagwörter

  • Levee failure, Logistic regression, Reliability, Risk management, River floods