Evolutionary optimization of case-based forecasting algorithms in chaotic environments

Research output: Contribution to journalResearch articleContributedpeer-review

Contributors

  • Alexander Musaev - , Saint Petersburg State Institute of Technology (Author)
  • Ekaterina Borovinskaya - , Chair of Thermodynamics, Saint Petersburg State Institute of Technology (Author)

Abstract

The problem of dynamic adaptation of prediction algorithms in chaotic environments based on identification of the situations-analogs in the database of retrospective observations is considered. Under conditions of symmetrical and unsymmetrical chaotic dynamics, traditional computational schemes of precedent prediction turn out to be ineffective. In this regard, a dynamic adaptation of precedent analysis algorithms based on the method of evolutionary modeling is proposed. Implementation of the computational precedent prediction scheme for chaotic processes as well as the evolutionary modeling method are described.

Details

Original languageEnglish
Article number301
Pages (from-to)1-15
Number of pages15
JournalSymmetry
Volume13
Issue number2
Publication statusPublished - Feb 2021
Peer-reviewedYes

Keywords

Keywords

  • Chaotic environments, Evolutionary modeling, Prediction