Data-Driven Insights-A Machine Learning based EV Charging Behavior Prediction with Heterogeneous Users

Research output: Contribution to book/Conference proceedings/Anthology/ReportConference contributionContributedpeer-review

Abstract

Accurate forecasting of electric vehicle (EV) charging demand is essential for smart charging and efficient infrastructure use - particularly in hybrid environments with public access and shift-based internal users. This study introduces a dual-level forecasting framework: we propose a Hybrid Gated Recurrent Units (GRU) model for day-ahead station-level occupancy prediction and evaluate real-time EV-level behavior forecasting using LightGBM (LGBM) and a session similarity (SIMs) approach, enabling both strategic planning and realtime decision-making for efficient EV charging management. At the station level, our model predicts multistep charging station occupancy using behavioral and environmental features. At the EV-level, we forecast plug-in duration and energy consumption based on user-specific trends. Forecasting performance is assessed using both standard and behavior-sensitive metrics to evaluate reliability under real-world conditions. Results show that average metrics often mask behavioral variability and edge-case errors. Our analysis highlights that forecasting accuracy depends more on contextual data quality than on model complexity.

Details

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings - 2025 IEEE 7th Global Power, Energy and Communication Conference, GPECOM 2025
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)
Pages804-810
Number of pages7
ISBN (electronic)979-8-3315-1323-8
ISBN (print)979-8-3315-1324-5
Publication statusPublished - 2025
Peer-reviewedYes

Publication series

SeriesGlobal Power, Energy and Communication Conference (GPECOM)
ISSN2832-7675

Conference

Title7th Global Power, Energy and Communication Conference
Abbreviated titleGPECOM 2025
Conference number7
Duration11 - 13 June 2025
Website
LocationMercure Hotel Bochum City
CityBochum
CountryGermany

External IDs

ORCID /0000-0001-8469-9573/work/188860177

Keywords