Data-Driven Insights-A Machine Learning based EV Charging Behavior Prediction with Heterogeneous Users
Research output: Contribution to book/Conference proceedings/Anthology/Report › Conference contribution › Contributed › peer-review
Contributors
Abstract
Accurate forecasting of electric vehicle (EV) charging demand is essential for smart charging and efficient infrastructure use - particularly in hybrid environments with public access and shift-based internal users. This study introduces a dual-level forecasting framework: we propose a Hybrid Gated Recurrent Units (GRU) model for day-ahead station-level occupancy prediction and evaluate real-time EV-level behavior forecasting using LightGBM (LGBM) and a session similarity (SIMs) approach, enabling both strategic planning and realtime decision-making for efficient EV charging management. At the station level, our model predicts multistep charging station occupancy using behavioral and environmental features. At the EV-level, we forecast plug-in duration and energy consumption based on user-specific trends. Forecasting performance is assessed using both standard and behavior-sensitive metrics to evaluate reliability under real-world conditions. Results show that average metrics often mask behavioral variability and edge-case errors. Our analysis highlights that forecasting accuracy depends more on contextual data quality than on model complexity.
Details
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Title of host publication | Proceedings - 2025 IEEE 7th Global Power, Energy and Communication Conference, GPECOM 2025 |
| Publisher | Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) |
| Pages | 804-810 |
| Number of pages | 7 |
| ISBN (electronic) | 979-8-3315-1323-8 |
| ISBN (print) | 979-8-3315-1324-5 |
| Publication status | Published - 2025 |
| Peer-reviewed | Yes |
Publication series
| Series | Global Power, Energy and Communication Conference (GPECOM) |
|---|---|
| ISSN | 2832-7675 |
Conference
| Title | 7th Global Power, Energy and Communication Conference |
|---|---|
| Abbreviated title | GPECOM 2025 |
| Conference number | 7 |
| Duration | 11 - 13 June 2025 |
| Website | |
| Location | Mercure Hotel Bochum City |
| City | Bochum |
| Country | Germany |
External IDs
| ORCID | /0000-0001-8469-9573/work/188860177 |
|---|
Keywords
Sustainable Development Goals
ASJC Scopus subject areas
Keywords
- Behavior Prediction, EV Charging, Hybrid GRU, LightGBM, Occupancy Forecasting, Similarity Model