Application of the RIMARC algorithm to a large data set of action potentials and clinical parameters for risk prediction of atrial fibrillation

Research output: Contribution to journalResearch articleContributedpeer-review

Contributors

  • Ursula Ravens - , Institute of Pharmacology and Toxicology (Author)
  • Deniz Katircioglu-Öztürk - , Middle East Technical University, Medical Information Technology Solutions (Author)
  • Erich Wettwer - , Institute of Pharmacology and Toxicology (Author)
  • Torsten Christ - , Institute of Pharmacology and Toxicology (Author)
  • Dobromir Dobrev - , Institute of Pharmacology and Toxicology (Author)
  • Niels Voigt - , Institute of Pharmacology and Toxicology (Author)
  • Claire Poulet - , Institute of Pharmacology and Toxicology (Author)
  • Simone Loose - , Institute of Pharmacology and Toxicology (Author)
  • Jana Simon - , Institute of Pharmacology and Toxicology (Author)
  • Agnes Stein - , Heart Center Dresden University Hospital (Author)
  • Klaus Matschke - , Department of Cardiac Surgery (at Dresden Heart Centre) (Author)
  • Michael Knaut - , Department of Cardiac Surgery (at Dresden Heart Centre) (Author)
  • Emre Oto - , Medical Information Technology Solutions (Author)
  • Ali Oto - , Hacettepe University (Author)
  • H. Altay Güvenir - , Bilkent University (Author)

Abstract

Ex vivo recorded action potentials (APs) in human right atrial tissue from patients in sinus rhythm (SR) or atrial fibrillation (AF) display a characteristic spike-and-dome or triangular shape, respectively, but variability is huge within each rhythm group. The aim of our study was to apply the machine-learning algorithm ranking instances by maximizing the area under the ROC curve (RIMARC) to a large data set of 480 APs combined with retrospectively collected general clinical parameters and to test whether the rules learned by the RIMARC algorithm can be used for accurately classifying the preoperative rhythm status. APs were included from 221 SR and 158 AF patients. During a learning phase, the RIMARC algorithm established a ranking order of 62 features by predictive value for SR or AF. The model was then challenged with an additional test set of features from 28 patients in whom rhythm status was blinded. The accuracy of the risk prediction for AF by the model was very good (0.93) when all features were used. Without the seven AP features, accuracy still reached 0.71. In conclusion, we have shown that training the machine-learning algorithm RIMARC with an experimental and clinical data set allows predicting a classification in a test data set with high accuracy. In a clinical setting, this approach may prove useful for finding hypothesis-generating associations between different parameters.

Details

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)263-273
Number of pages11
JournalMedical and Biological Engineering and Computing
Volume53
Issue number3
Publication statusPublished - Mar 2015
Peer-reviewedYes

External IDs

PubMed 25466224

Keywords

Keywords

  • Atrial fibrillation, Clinical parameters, Human right atrial action potentials, RIMARC algorithm, Risk prediction