Advancing Hydrological Modeling in Complex Terrain with Satellite Data and Integrated Hydrological-Soft Computing Approaches

Research output: Contribution to book/Conference proceedings/Anthology/ReportConference contributionContributedpeer-review

Abstract

Accurate precipitation (P) estimates are critical for effective rainfall-runoff modeling in hydrological studies. However, achieving this accuracy can be particularly challenging in complex terrains, where much of the area is ungauged or poorly gauged. This study investigates the performance and hydrological utility of the GPM (IMERG_F) satellite precipitation dataset (SPD) for predicting daily streamflow in the mountainous Upper Jhelum River Basin (UJRB), Pakistan. The analysis employs the SWAT hydrological model alongside SWAT integrated with soft computing models (SCMs), including Random Forests (SWAT-RF), Extreme Gradient Boosting (SWAT-XGBoost), and Long Short-Term Memory networks (SWAT-LSTM). SCMs were trained using outputs from uncalibrated SWAT models to enhance prediction accuracy. Among these models, SWAT-XGBoost demonstrated the highest performance during both training and testing phases, with R² values of 0.98 and 0.96, respectively. This outperformed SWAT-RF (R² = 0.97 and 0.94), SWAT-LSTM (R² = 0.90 and 0.85), and SWAT-CUP (R² = 0.70 and 0.72). These results suggest that hydrological SCMs coupled with GPM SPD represent a promising approach for streamflow simulation, especially in regions with sparse or uneven gauge networks.

Details

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationBook of Extended Abstracts of the 41st IAHR World Congress, 2025
EditorsAdrian Wing-Keung Law, Jenn Wei Er
PublisherInternational Association for Hydro-Environment Engineering and Research
Pages2159-2162
Number of pages4
ISBN (print)978-90-835589-5-0
Publication statusPublished - 2025
Peer-reviewedYes

Publication series

SeriesProceedings of the IAHR World Congress
ISSN2521-7119

Conference

Title41st International Association for Hydro-Environment Engineering and Research (IAHR) World Congress
SubtitleInnovative Water Engineering for Sustainable Development
Abbreviated titleIAHR 2025
Conference number41
Duration22 - 27 June 2025
Website
Degree of recognitionInternational event
LocationSingapore EXPO
CitySingapore
CountrySingapore

External IDs

ORCID /0000-0002-3729-0166/work/217237985

Keywords

Keywords

  • “Hydrological modeling”, “Rainfall-runoff modeling”, “Satellite precipitation dataset”, “Soft computing models”, “SWAT”, “Ungauged basins”