Yield curve shapes and the asymptotic short rate distribution in affine one-factor models

Research output: Contribution to journalResearch articleContributedpeer-review

Contributors

  • Martin Keller-Ressel - , Vienna University of Technology (Author)
  • Thomas Steiner - , Vienna University of Technology (Author)

Abstract

We consider a model for interest rates where the short rate is given under the risk-neutral measure by a time-homogeneous one-dimensional affine process in the sense of Duffie, Filipović, and Schachermayer. We show that in such a model yield curves can only be normal, inverse, or humped (i.e., endowed with a single local maximum). Each case can be characterized by simple conditions on the present short rate r t . We give conditions under which the short rate process converges to a limit distribution and describe the risk-neutral limit distribution in terms of its cumulant generating function. We apply our results to the Vasiček model, the CIR model, a CIR model with added jumps, and a model of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type.

Details

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)149-172
Number of pages24
JournalFinance and stochastics
Volume12
Issue number2
Publication statusPublished - Apr 2008
Peer-reviewedYes
Externally publishedYes

External IDs

ORCID /0000-0003-0913-3363/work/167706913

Keywords

Keywords

  • Affine process, Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, Term structure of interest rates, Yield curve