Uni- und multivariate Analyse der Einflussfaktoren auf die Verkehrsunfallmortalität von Pkw-Insassen

Research output: Contribution to journalResearch articleContributedpeer-review

Contributors

  • S. Rohrer - , University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus Dresden, University Center for Orthopedics, Trauma and Plastic Surgery (OUPC) (Author)
  • R. Koch - , University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus Dresden, Institute for Medical Informatics and Biometry (Author)
  • L. Hannawald - , TUD Dresden University of Technology (Author)
  • H. Zwipp - , University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus Dresden, University Center for Orthopedics, Trauma and Plastic Surgery (OUPC) (Author)

Abstract

Background. While the number of fatal accidents decreases every year, there is still need for improvement and action to prevent these deaths. The basis for this purpose has to be an analysis about the factors influencing the car crash mortality. Patients and methods. This multivariate analysis is based on 2,609 cases collected by the accident research units in Dresden and Hanover during the years 1999-2003. This paper presents a multivariate model containing ten different variables which detects 93% of these cases properly as "survived" or "dead." Results. The variable "energy equivalent speed" (EES) has the most important effect on car crash mortality. Values greater than 60 km/h lead to a 248-fold higher mortality risk. The mortality is not related to gender, but rather to the value of EES. Younger persons (18-25 years) have no significantly higher risk for death, but for persons older than 60 years the risk was threefold higher. Conclusion. Univariate assessments may be falsified by bias; this effect can be uncovered by multivariate models.

Translated title of the contribution
Uni- and multivariate analysis of factors influencing car crash mortality of passengers

Details

Original languageGerman
Pages (from-to)12-18
Number of pages7
JournalUnfallchirurg
Volume111
Issue number1
Publication statusPublished - Jan 2008
Peer-reviewedYes

External IDs

PubMed 18210037

Keywords

Keywords

  • Energy equivalent speed (EES), Injury patterns, Mortality, Multivariate analysis, Traffic accidents