The detection and attribution of extreme reductions in vegetation growth across the global land surface

Research output: Contribution to journalResearch articleContributedpeer-review

Contributors

  • Hui Yang - , Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Peking University (Author)
  • Seth M. Munson - , United States Geological Survey (Author)
  • Chris Huntingford - , Centre for Ecology and Hydrology (Author)
  • Nuno Carvalhais - , Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, NOVA University Lisbon, European Laboratory for Learning and Intelligent Systems (Author)
  • Alan K. Knapp - , Colorado State University (Author)
  • Xiangyi Li - , Peking University (Author)
  • Josep Peñuelas - , CREAF - Centre for Ecological Research and Forestry Applications (Author)
  • Jakob Zscheischler - , Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research (Author)
  • Anping Chen - , Colorado State University (Author)

Abstract

Negative extreme anomalies in vegetation growth (NEGs) usually indicate severely impaired ecosystem services. These NEGs can result from diverse natural and anthropogenic causes, especially climate extremes (CEs). However, the relationship between NEGs and many types of CEs remains largely unknown at regional and global scales. Here, with satellite-derived vegetation index data and supporting tree-ring chronologies, we identify periods of NEGs from 1981 to 2015 across the global land surface. We find 70% of these NEGs are attributable to five types of CEs and their combinations, with compound CEs generally more detrimental than individual ones. More importantly, we find that dominant CEs for NEGs vary by biome and region. Specifically, cold and/or wet extremes dominate NEGs in temperate mountains and high latitudes, whereas soil drought and related compound extremes are primarily responsible for NEGs in wet tropical, arid and semi-arid regions. Key characteristics (e.g., the frequency, intensity and duration of CEs, and the vulnerability of vegetation) that determine the dominance of CEs are also region- and biome-dependent. For example, in the wet tropics, dominant individual CEs have both higher intensity and longer duration than non-dominant ones. However, in the dry tropics and some temperate regions, a longer CE duration is more important than higher intensity. Our work provides the first global accounting of the attribution of NEGs to diverse climatic extremes. Our analysis has important implications for developing climate-specific disaster prevention and mitigation plans among different regions of the globe in a changing climate.

Details

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)2351-2362
Number of pages12
JournalGlobal change biology
Volume29
Issue number8
Publication statusPublished - Apr 2023
Peer-reviewedYes
Externally publishedYes

External IDs

PubMed 36630538

Keywords

Keywords

  • climate extremes, coincidence analysis, drought, flood, frost, heatwave, vegetation growth anomaly