Stagewise crop yield prediction with multisource functional indices
Research output: Contribution to journal › Research article › Contributed › peer-review
Contributors
Abstract
Index insurance design involves integrating weather data, soil moisture, phenology information, and satellite imagery, which presents challenges in data fusion. This article addresses the modelling of multisource functional indices of varying lengths by constructing a stagewise ensemble of sequential models. The implemented methods, including nonparametric regression and deep learning models, aim to improve crop yield prediction by systematically capturing spatiotemporal dependence across indices of different temporal spans. Results from an applied case study demonstrate both the feasibility and practical value of stagewise modelling, highlighting its potential to reduce basis risk and improve the hedging effectiveness of index insurance contracts.
Details
| Original language | English |
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| Article number | e70043 |
| Journal | Canadian Journal of Statistics |
| Volume | 54 |
| Issue number | 1 |
| Publication status | Published - Mar 2026 |
| Peer-reviewed | Yes |
External IDs
| ORCID | /0000-0002-8909-4861/work/215833786 |
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Keywords
Keywords
- Functional data, index insurance, spatiotemporal modelling, stagewise