Recalibration of the BPR function for the strategic modelling of connected and autonomous vehicles

Research output: Contribution to journalResearch articleContributedpeer-review

Contributors

  • Esta Qiu - , University of New South Wales (Author)
  • Navreet Virdi - , University of New South Wales (Author)
  • Hanna Grzybowska - , Commonwealth Scientific & Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) (Author)
  • Travis Waller - , University of New South Wales (Author)

Abstract

This paper assesses the adequacy of the BPR volume delay function for the strategic modelling of Connected and Autonomous Vehicles (CAVs). Three testbed environments are simulated at 10% increments of CAV penetration rates (CPR) to observe network performance in mixed fleet environments. The microsimulation dataset is compared with the BPR travel time predictions to evaluate the need for recalibration. Where appropriate, the BPR modelling parameters are redefined as a function of the CPR. The predictive quality of the recalibrated model is then validated by comparing it against the BPR function on synthetic data. The numerical results indicate an overall improvement in travel time prediction using the recalibrated model, with a significant reduction in root mean square error from 15.16 to 8.86. The recalibrated model also outperformed the traditional BPR model in 67% of the 4620 cases used for validation, and better-predicted travel time by 5.43 times.

Details

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)779-800
Number of pages22
JournalTransportmetrica B
Volume10
Issue number1
Publication statusPublished - 2022
Peer-reviewedYes
Externally publishedYes

External IDs

ORCID /0000-0002-2939-2090/work/141543781

Keywords

Keywords

  • Connected and autonomous vehicles, microsimulation, strategic modelling, volume delay function