Predictive Modeling to Uncover Parkinson's Disease Characteristics That Delay Diagnosis

Research output: Preprint/documentation/reportPreprint

Contributors

  • Tom Hähnel - , Department of Neurology, Institute for Medical Informatics and Biometry (Author)
  • Tamara Raschka - , Fraunhofer Institute for Algorithms and Scientific Computing, University of Bonn (Author)
  • Jochen Klucken - , University of Luxembourg, Luxembourg Institute of Health, Center Hospitalier de Luxembourg (Author)
  • Enrico Glaab - , University of Luxembourg (Author)
  • Jean-Cristophe Corvol - , Sorbonne Université, Paris Brain Institute, Assistance publique – Hôpitaux de Paris, Pitié-Salpêtrière Hospital (Author)
  • Bjoern Falkenburger - , Department of Neurology (Author)
  • Holger Fröhlich - , Fraunhofer Institute for Algorithms and Scientific Computing (Author)

Abstract

Background:
People with Parkinson’s disease (PwPD) present with a variety of motor and non-motor symptoms, and a more biological definition of PD is poised to expand the diagnostic spectrum beyond the stereotypical “elderly male with tremor”. This heterogeneity can potentially pose a challenge for an accurate and early diagnosis.
Objectives:
To determine whether demographic or clinical characteristics systematically affect the time till diagnosis, by modeling large-scale longitudinal data.
Methods:
Using longitudinal data from three large PD cohorts and a latent time joint mixed-effects model (LTJMM), we aligned the disease courses of individual PwPD and estimated whether individual PD diagnosis was early or late compared to the average time of PD diagnosis in each cohort. Initial clinical manifestations at the typical time of PD diagnosis were estimated using mixed-effects models.
Results:
We included 1,124 PwPD in our analysis. Several clinical and demographic factors were associated with a later-than-average diagnosis of PD: higher age, tremor dominance, rapid progression, anxiety, autonomic symptoms, depression, fatigue, pain, sleep problems, and in general more non-motor
symptoms. In contrast, postural and gait disturbance was associated with an earlier-than-average PD diagnosis. Sex, family history of PD and predominantly affected side did not impact the time of PD diagnosis.
Conclusions:
Using statistical modeling, we were able to study initial clinical characteristics of PwPD even in the absence of directly observable clinical data at the time when PD is diagnosed typically. Our findings are consistent with a biological definition of PD that includes patients who present initially with nonmotor symptoms.

Details

Original languageEnglish
Publication statusPublished - 13 Mar 2024
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External IDs

ORCID /0000-0002-2387-526X/work/155839603
unpaywall 10.1101/2024.03.12.24304165
medrxiv 10.1101/2024.03.12.24304165_v1

Keywords

Keywords

  • neurology