More losses than gains during one century of plant biodiversity change in Germany

Research output: Contribution to journalResearch articleContributedpeer-review

Contributors

  • Ute Jandt - , Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle—Jena—Leipzig (Author)
  • Helge Bruelheide - , Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle—Jena—Leipzig (Author)
  • Florian Jansen - , University of Rostock (Author)
  • Aletta Bonn - , German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle—Jena—Leipzig, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Friedrich Schiller University Jena (Author)
  • Volker Grescho - , German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle—Jena—Leipzig, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research (Author)
  • Reinhard A. Klenke - , Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle—Jena—Leipzig (Author)
  • Francesco Maria Sabatini - , Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle—Jena—Leipzig, University of Bologna (Author)
  • Markus Bernhardt-Römermann - , German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle—Jena—Leipzig, Friedrich Schiller University Jena (Author)
  • Volker Blüml - , BMS-Umweltplanung (Author)
  • Jürgen Dengler - , German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle—Jena—Leipzig, Zurich University of Applied Sciences (ZHAW), University of Bayreuth (Author)
  • Martin Diekmann - , University of Bremen (Author)
  • Inken Doerfler - , University of Oldenburg (Author)
  • Ute Döring - (Author)
  • Stefan Dullinger - , University of Vienna (Author)
  • Sylvia Haider - , Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle—Jena—Leipzig (Author)
  • Thilo Heinken - , University of Potsdam (Author)
  • Peter Horchler - , Federal Institute of Hydrology (Author)
  • Gisbert Kuhn - , Bavarian State Institute for Agriculture (Author)
  • Martin Lindner - , German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle—Jena—Leipzig, Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg (Author)
  • Katrin Metze - , Ministry of Science, Energy, Climate Protection and Environment of the Federal State of Saxony-Anhalt (Author)
  • Norbert Müller - , Erfurt University of Applied Sciences (Author)
  • Tobias Naaf - , Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research (Author)
  • Cord Peppler-Lisbach - , University of Oldenburg (Author)
  • Peter Poschlod - , University of Regensburg (Author)
  • Christiane Roscher - , German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle—Jena—Leipzig, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research (Author)
  • Gert Rosenthal - , University of Kassel (Author)
  • Sabine B. Rumpf - , University of Vienna, University of Lausanne, University of Basel (Author)
  • Wolfgang Schmidt - , University of Göttingen (Author)
  • Joachim Schrautzer - , Kiel University (Author)
  • Angelika Schwabe - , Technische Universität Darmstadt (Author)
  • Peter Schwartze - , Biological Station District Steinfurt (Author)
  • Thomas Sperle - (Author)
  • Nils Stanik - , University of Kassel (Author)
  • Christian Storm - , Technische Universität Darmstadt (Author)
  • Winfried Voigt - , Friedrich Schiller University Jena (Author)
  • Uwe Wegener - (Author)
  • Karsten Wesche - , International Institute Zittau, Chair of Biodiversity of Higher Plants, German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle—Jena—Leipzig, Senckenberg Museum of Natural History Görlitz, Senckenberg Gesellschaft für Naturforschung (Author)
  • Burghard Wittig - , University of Bremen, Lower Saxon Department for Water, Coastal and Nature Conservation (Author)
  • Monika Wulf - , Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research, University of Potsdam (Author)

Abstract

Long-term analyses of biodiversity data highlight a ‘biodiversity conservation paradox’: biological communities show substantial species turnover over the past century1,2, but changes in species richness are marginal1,3–5. Most studies, however, have focused only on the incidence of species, and have not considered changes in local abundance. Here we asked whether analysing changes in the cover of plant species could reveal previously unrecognized patterns of biodiversity change and provide insights into the underlying mechanisms. We compiled and analysed a dataset of 7,738 permanent and semi-permanent vegetation plots from Germany that were surveyed between 2 and 54 times from 1927 to 2020, in total comprising 1,794 species of vascular plants. We found that decrements in cover, averaged across all species and plots, occurred more often than increments; that the number of species that decreased in cover was higher than the number of species that increased; and that decrements were more equally distributed among losers than were gains among winners. Null model simulations confirmed that these trends do not emerge by chance, but are the consequence of species-specific negative effects of environmental changes. In the long run, these trends might result in substantial losses of species at both local and regional scales. Summarizing the changes by decade shows that the inequality in the mean change in species cover of losers and winners diverged as early as the 1960s. We conclude that changes in species cover in communities represent an important but understudied dimension of biodiversity change that should more routinely be considered in time-series analyses.

Details

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)512-518
Number of pages7
JournalNature
Volume611
Issue number7936
Publication statusPublished - 17 Nov 2022
Peer-reviewedYes

External IDs

PubMed 36261519

Keywords

ASJC Scopus subject areas