Modeling renewable energy systems by a self-evolving nonlinear consequent part recurrent type-2 fuzzy system for power prediction

Research output: Contribution to journalResearch articleContributedpeer-review

Contributors

  • Jafar Tavoosi - , Ilam University (Author)
  • Amir Abolfazl Suratgar - , Amirkabir University of Technology (Author)
  • Mohammad Bagher Menhaj - , Amirkabir University of Technology (Author)
  • Amir Mosavi - , TUD Dresden University of Technology, Óbuda University (Author)
  • Ardashir Mohammadzadeh - , University of Bonab (Author)
  • Ehsan Ranjbar - , Amirkabir University of Technology (Author)

Abstract

A novel Nonlinear Consequent Part Recurrent Type-2 Fuzzy System (NCPRT2FS) is presented for the modeling of renewable energy systems. Not only does this paper present a new architecture of the type-2 fuzzy system (T2FS) for identification and behavior prognostication of an experimental solar cell set and a wind turbine, but also, it introduces an exquisite technique to ac-quire an optimal number of membership functions (MFs) and their corresponding rules. Using non-linear functions in the “Then” part of fuzzy rules, introducing a new mechanism in structure learn-ing, using an adaptive learning rate and performing convergence analysis of the learning algorithm are the innovations of this paper. Another novel innovation is using optimization techniques (in-cluding pruning fuzzy rules, initial adjustment of MFs). Next, a solar photovoltaic cell and a wind turbine are deemed as case studies. The experimental data are exploited and the consequent yields emerge as convincing. The root-mean-square-error (RMSE) is less than 0.006 and the number of fuzzy rules is equal to or less than four rules, which indicates the very good performance of the presented fuzzy neural network. Finally, the obtained model is used for the first time for a geographical area to examine the feasibility of renewable energies.

Details

Original languageEnglish
Article number3301
JournalSustainability (Switzerland)
Volume13
Issue number6
Publication statusPublished - 2 Mar 2021
Peer-reviewedYes

Keywords

Sustainable Development Goals

Keywords

  • Artificial intelligence, Big data, Convergence analysis, Data science, Energy, Fuzzy logic, Machine learning, Nonlinear consequent part, Renewable energy, Self-evolving, Type-2 Fuzzy