Lepidopteran forest defoliators in a changing climate: performance in different life-history stages, and range expansion

Research output: Types of ThesisDoctoral thesis

Contributors

Abstract

Although there are few confirmed records of rising temperatures contributing to range expansions and range shifts of harmful insects so far, the link between climate and insect distribution range is plausible. Temperature is likely the single most important abiotic factor limiting insect survival. Not only average temperatures but also temperature extremes, such as winter cold spells, may play an important role for insect success. As arctic and boreal regions are warming more rapidly than other regions on Earth, insects in these regions can be expected to show the greatest response to climate change. However, a warming climate may also have a negative effect on insect pests by disrupting phenological synchronies between insects and their host plants. Insects may be able to adapt to these changes genetically over generations or, more rapidly, through phenotypic plasticity – the propensity of a genotype to produce different phenotypes under different environmental conditions.\n\nIn this thesis, I examine topics of climate change, insect range expansions and adaptive potential of pest insects using five univoltine spring-feeding moth species: the geometrids Epirrita autumnata, Operophtera brumata and Erannis defoliaria, and the lymantriins Lymantria monacha and L. dispar.\n\nA laboratory experiment revealed that geometrid eggs from southern populations hatch at higher temperature sums than eggs from northern populations. Following the same pattern, L. monacha from a continental European core population developed slower than their conspecifics from a boreal edge population in a field experiment. Northern moth strains may thus have genetically adapted to a shorter summer season. No local adaptation in egg supercooling points, which measure winter cold tolerance and survival, was found when comparing northern and southern strains of L. monacha.\n\nPhenotypic plasticity of the two lymantriins was studied by rearing individuals originating from the same population in climatically different locations in Germany where both species occur naturally, southern Finland where only L. monacha is confirmedly established and northern Finland where neither of the species is naturally present. Continental L. monacha appears to be less flexible than boreal L. monacha in its phenology, which may indicate that the population living on the edge of the species’ distribution range benefits from a high level of adaptive phenological plasticity that facilitates acclimation to varying environments.\n\nA rearing experiment under field conditions confirmed that both L. monacha and L. dispar can successfully complete their entire life cycle in southern Finland, and that they are not limited by host plant availability. Winter minimum temperatures are unlikely to stop L. dispar from expanding its range to southernmost Finland, although they will limit the expansion of both studied lymantriins further north. In climate warming scenarios, the northern boundary of both species’ distribution could shift by over 300 km. A recent northwards range expansion and rising abundances of L. monacha in Finland is clearly visible in observational data from both an open “Insect Database” and the systematic “Nocturna” monitoring programme. The trend started in the early 1990s and has continued since then, although with fluctuations. The observed range expansions and population growth appear to be connected to less severe winter extreme temperatures, although rising temperatures during the flight period of the species may also have contributed to its recent success.\n\nIt is likely that L. monacha and L. dispar continue expanding their range and increase in abundance in Finland, and there is a risk that they become important forest pests in the country. As a preventive measure, developing a regionally adapted multilevel monitoring programme already today and promoting forest conversion from coniferous to mixed and ecologically stable stands can help reduce defoliation damage in the coming decades. \n

Details

Original languageEnglish
Qualification levelDr. phil.
Awarding Institution
  • University of Turku
Supervisors/Advisors
  • Roth, Mechthild, Mentor
  • Niemelä, Pekka, Supervisor, External person
  • Saikkonen, Kari, Supervisor, External person
Defense Date (Date of certificate)28 Sept 2018
Place of PublicationTurku
Publisher
  • Turun yliopisto - University of Turku
Print ISBNs978-951-29-7388-0
Electronic ISBNs978-951-29-7389-7
Publication statusPublished - 2018
Externally publishedYes
No renderer: customAssociatesEventsRenderPortal,dk.atira.pure.api.shared.model.researchoutput.Thesis

External IDs

ORCID /0000-0002-6717-3286/work/142659896

Keywords

Sustainable Development Goals

Keywords

  • Klimawandel, Schädlinge, Lymantriinae, Geometridae, Frostspanner, Lymantria, Erannis, Epirrita, Operophtera, Forstschutz, Insekten, Temperatur