Is the Effect of Trust on Risk Perceptions a Matter of Knowledge, Control, and Time? An Extension and Direct-Replication Attempt of Siegrist and Cvetkovich (2000)

Research output: Contribution to journalResearch articleContributedpeer-review

Contributors

  • Shiva Pauer - , University of Amsterdam, Helmut Schmidt Unviersity Hamburg (Author)
  • Bastiaan T. Rutjens - , University of Amsterdam (Author)
  • Cameron Brick - , University of Amsterdam, Inland Norway University of Applied Sciences (Author)
  • Aaron B. Lob - , University of Amsterdam, University of Zurich (Author)
  • Benjamin Buttlar - , Trier University (Author)
  • Marret K. Noordewier - , Leiden University (Author)
  • Iris K. Schneider - , Chair of Social Psychology, TUD Dresden University of Technology (Author)
  • Frenk van Harreveld - , University of Amsterdam, National Institute of Public Health and the Environment (Author)

Abstract

The complexity of societal risks such as pandemics, artificial intelligence, and climate change may lead laypeople to rely on experts and authorities when evaluating these threats. While Siegrist and Cvetkovich showed that competence-based trust in authorities correlates with perceived societal risks and benefits only when people feel unknowledgeable, recent research has yielded mixed support for this foundational work. To address this discrepancy, we conducted a direct-replication study (preregistered; 1,070 participants, 33 risks, 35,310 observations). The results contradict the original findings. However, additional non-preregistered analyses indicate an alternative perspective aligning with compensatory control theory and the description-experience framework: experiences with insufficient personal control over a threat may amplify individuals’ dependency on powerful others for risk mitigation. These findings highlight the need to reevaluate how trust shapes risk perceptions. Recent societal and technological shifts might have heightened the desire for control compared to subjective knowledge in why people resort to trust.

Details

Original languageEnglish
Number of pages16
JournalSocial Psychological and Personality Science
Volume15
Issue number8
Publication statusAccepted/In press - 2024
Peer-reviewedYes

Keywords

Sustainable Development Goals

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Keywords

  • experiential learning, personal control, risk, subjective knowledge, trust