Groundwater level prediction in arid areas using wavelet analysis and Gaussian process regression

Research output: Contribution to journalResearch articleContributedpeer-review

Contributors

  • Shahab S. Band - , National Yunlin University of Science and Technology (Author)
  • Essam Heggy - , University of Southern California, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology (Author)
  • Sayed M. Bateni - , University of Hawai'i at Mānoa (Author)
  • Hojat Karami - , Semnan University (Author)
  • Mobina Rabiee - , Semnan University (Author)
  • Saeed Samadianfard - , University of Tabriz (Author)
  • Kwok Wing Chau - , Hong Kong Polytechnic University (Author)
  • Amir Mosavi - , TUD Dresden University of Technology, Óbuda University, János Selye University (Author)

Abstract

Utilizing new approaches to accurately predict groundwater level (GWL) in arid regions is of vital importance. In this study, support vector regression (SVR), Gaussian process regression (GPR), and their combination with wavelet transformation (named wavelet-support vector regression (W-SVR) and wavelet-Gaussian process regression (W-GPR)) are used to forecast groundwater level in Semnan plain (arid area) for the next month. Three different wavelet transformations, namely Haar, db4, and Symlet, are tested. Four statistical metrics, namely root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), coefficient of determination (R 2), and Nah-Sutcliffe efficiency (NS), are used to evaluate performance of different methods. The results reveal that SVR with RMSE of 0.04790 (m), MAPE of 0.00199%, R 2 of 0.99995, and NS of 0.99988 significantly outperforms GPR with RMSE of 0.55439 (m), MAPE of 0.04363%, R2 of 0.99264, and NS of 0.98413. Besides, the hybrid W-GPR-1 model (i.e. GPR with Harr wavelet) remarkably improves the accuracy of GWL prediction compared to GPR. Finally, the hybrid W-SVR-3 model (i.e. SVR with Symlet) provides the best GWL prediction with RMSE, MAPE, R2, and NS of 0.01290 (m), 0.00079%, 0.99999, and 0.99999, respectively. Overall, the findings indicate that hybrid models can accurately predict GWL in arid regions.

Details

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1147-1158
Number of pages12
JournalEngineering applications of computational fluid mechanics
Volume15
Issue number1
Publication statusPublished - 2021
Peer-reviewedYes

Keywords

Keywords

  • artificial intelligence, Gaussian process regression, Groundwater level prediction, hydrological model, machine learning, support vector