Global covariation of carbon turnover times with climate in terrestrial ecosystems

Research output: Contribution to journalResearch articleContributedpeer-review

Contributors

  • Nuno Carvalhais - , Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, NOVA University Lisbon (Author)
  • Matthias Forkel - , Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry (Author)
  • Myroslava Khomik - , Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, McMaster University (Author)
  • Jessica Bellarby - , University of Aberdeen, Lancaster University (Author)
  • Martin Jung - , Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry (Author)
  • Mirco Migliavacca - , Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, University of Milan - Bicocca (Author)
  • Mingquan Mu - , University of California at Irvine (Author)
  • Sassan Saatchi - , Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology (Author)
  • Maurizio Santoro - , GAMMA Remote Sensing Research and Consulting AG (Author)
  • Martin Thurner - , Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry (Author)
  • Ulrich Weber - , Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry (Author)
  • Bernhard Ahrens - , Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry (Author)
  • Christian Beer - , Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Stockholm University (Author)
  • Alessandro Cescatti - , European Commission Joint Research Centre Institute (Author)
  • James T. Randerson - , University of California at Irvine (Author)
  • Markus Reichstein - , Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry (Author)

Abstract

The response of the terrestrial carbon cycle to climate change is among the largest uncertainties affecting future climate change projections. The feedback between the terrestrial carbon cycle and climate is partly determined by changes in the turnover time of carbon in land ecosystems, which in turn is an ecosystem property that emerges from the interplay between climate, soil and vegetation type. Here we present a global, spatially explicit and observation-based assessment of whole-ecosystem carbon turnover times that combines new estimates of vegetation and soil organic carbon stocks and fluxes. We find that the overall mean global carbon turnover time is 23-4+7 years (95 per cent confidence interval). On average, carbon resides in the vegetation and soil near the Equator for a shorter time than at latitudes north of 75° north (mean turnover times of 15 and 255 years, respectively). We identify a clear dependence of the turnover time on temperature, as expected from our present understanding of temperature controls on ecosystem dynamics. Surprisingly, our analysis also reveals a similarly strong association between turnover time and precipitation. Moreover, we find that the ecosystem carbon turnover times simulated by state-of-the-art coupled climate/carbon-cycle models vary widely and that numerical simulations, on average, tend to underestimate the global carbon turnover time by 36 per cent. The models show stronger spatial relationships with temperature than do observation-based estimates, but generally do not reproduce the strong relationships with precipitation and predict faster carbon turnover in many semi-arid regions. Our findings suggest that future climate/carbon-cycle feedbacks may depend more strongly on changes in the hydrological cycle than is expected at present and is considered in Earth system models.

Details

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)213-217
Number of pages5
JournalNature
Volume514
Issue number7521
Publication statusPublished - 24 Sept 2014
Peer-reviewedYes
Externally publishedYes

External IDs

PubMed 25252980
ORCID /0000-0003-0363-9697/work/142252103

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