Do Floods Scare Off Residents?

Research output: Contribution to journalResearch articleContributedpeer-review

Contributors

  • Michael Berlemann - , Helmut Schmidt Unviersity Hamburg, Hamburgisches WeltWirtschaftsInstitut, ifo Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung e.V., Munich Society for the Promotion of Economic Research - CESifo GmbH (Author)
  • Joel Methorst - , Hamburgisches WeltWirtschaftsInstitut, Helmut Schmidt Unviersity Hamburg (Author)
  • Marcel Thum - , Chair of Economics, esp Public Economics, ifo Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung e.V., Munich Society for the Promotion of Economic Research - CESifo GmbH (Author)

Abstract

We use the 2002 flood disaster in the German state of Saxony as a natural experiment to study whether the population avoided disaster-prone areas after the flood. Such voting-by-feet location choices should enhance the resilience of municipalities in the future. Our difference-in-differences analysis with data from 419 municipalities over more than 10 years, however, shows that the communities affected by the flood had higher migration development than non-affected communities. The differential effect is also economically significant; the net migration rate is higher by approximately 2.5 people per 1000 inhabitants per year in affected municipalities.

Details

Original languageEnglish
Article number110942
JournalEconomics Letters
Volume222
Publication statusPublished - Jan 2023
Peer-reviewedYes

External IDs

Scopus 85143658228
ORCID /0000-0002-5071-7849/work/153110078

Keywords

Sustainable Development Goals

Keywords

  • Demography, Migration, State aid, Natural disasters, Resilience