Directional trends in species composition over time can lead to a widespread overemphasis of year-to-year asynchrony

Research output: Contribution to journalResearch articleContributedpeer-review

Contributors

  • Enrique Valencia - , Universidad Rey Juan Carlos (Author)
  • Francesco de Bello - , University of South Bohemia, CSIC-GV-UV - Centro de Investigaciones Sobre Desertificación (CIDE) (Author)
  • Jan Lepš - , University of South Bohemia, Czech Academy of Sciences (Author)
  • Thomas Galland - , University of South Bohemia, Czech Academy of Sciences (Author)
  • Anna E-Vojtkó - , University of South Bohemia, Czech Academy of Sciences (Author)
  • Luisa Conti - , Czech Academy of Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague (Author)
  • Jiří Danihelka - , Masaryk University, Czech Academy of Sciences (Author)
  • Jürgen Dengler - , Zurich University of Applied Sciences (ZHAW), University of Bayreuth, German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle—Jena—Leipzig (Author)
  • David J. Eldridge - , University of New South Wales (Author)
  • Marc Estiarte - , CREAF - Centre for Ecological Research and Forestry Applications (Author)
  • Ricardo García-González - , Spanish National Research Council (CSIC) (Author)
  • Eric Garnier - , University of Montpellier (Author)
  • Daniel Gómez - , Spanish National Research Council (CSIC) (Author)
  • Susan Harrison - , University of California at Davis (Author)
  • Tomas Herben - , Czech Academy of Sciences, Charles University Prague (Author)
  • Ricardo Ibáñez - , University of Navarra (Author)
  • Anke Jentsch - , University of Bayreuth (Author)
  • Norbert Juergens - , University of Hamburg (Author)
  • Miklós Kertész - , Centre for Ecological Research (Author)
  • Katja Klumpp - , Université Clermont Auvergne (Author)
  • Frédérique Louault - , Université Clermont Auvergne (Author)
  • Rob H. Marrs - , University of Liverpool (UOL) (Author)
  • Gábor Ónodi - , Centre for Ecological Research (Author)
  • Robin J. Pakeman - , The James Hutton Institute (Author)
  • Meelis Pärtel - , University of Tartu (Author)
  • Begoña Peco - , Universidad Autónoma de Madrid (Author)
  • Josep Peñuelas - , CREAF - Centre for Ecological Research and Forestry Applications (Author)
  • Marta Rueda - , Spanish National Research Council (CSIC) (Author)
  • Wolfgang Schmidt - , University of Göttingen (Author)
  • Ute Schmiedel - , University of Hamburg (Author)
  • Martin Schuetz - , Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research (Author)
  • Hana Skalova - , Czech Academy of Sciences (Author)
  • Petr Šmilauer - , University of South Bohemia (Author)
  • Marie Šmilauerová - , University of South Bohemia (Author)
  • Christian Smit - , University of Groningen (Author)
  • Ming Hua Song - , CAS - Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research (Author)
  • Martin Stock - , Wadden Sea National Park of Schleswig-Holstein (Author)
  • James Val - , University of New South Wales (Author)
  • Vigdis Vandvik - , University of Bergen (Author)
  • Karsten Wesche - , International Institute Zittau, Chair of Biodiversity of Higher Plants, German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle—Jena—Leipzig, Senckenberg Museum of Natural History Görlitz (Author)
  • Ben A. Woodcock - , Centre for Ecology and Hydrology (Author)
  • Truman P. Young - , University of California at Davis, Mpala Research Centre (Author)
  • Fei Hai Yu - , TaiZhou University (Author)
  • Martin Zobel - , University of Tartu (Author)
  • Lars Götzenberger - , University of South Bohemia, Czech Academy of Sciences (Author)

Abstract

Questions: Compensatory dynamics are described as one of the main mechanisms that increase community stability, e.g., where decreases of some species on a year-to-year basis are offset by an increase in others. Deviations from perfect synchrony between species (asynchrony) have therefore been advocated as an important mechanism underlying biodiversity effects on stability. However, it is unclear to what extent existing measures of synchrony actually capture the signal of year-to-year species fluctuations in the presence of long-term directional trends in both species abundance and composition (species directional trends hereafter). Such directional trends may lead to a misinterpretation of indices commonly used to reflect year-to-year synchrony. Methods: An approach based on three-term local quadrat variance (T3) which assesses population variability in a three-year moving window, was used to overcome species directional trend effects. This “detrending” approach was applied to common indices of synchrony across a worldwide collection of 77 temporal plant community datasets comprising almost 7,800 individual plots sampled for at least six years. Plots included were either maintained under constant “control” conditions over time or were subjected to different management or disturbance treatments. Results: Accounting for directional trends increased the detection of year-to-year synchronous patterns in all synchrony indices considered. Specifically, synchrony values increased significantly in ~40% of the datasets with the T3 detrending approach while in ~10% synchrony decreased. For the 38 studies with both control and manipulated conditions, the increase in synchrony values was stronger for longer time series, particularly following experimental manipulation. Conclusions: Species’ long-term directional trends can affect synchrony and stability measures potentially masking the ecological mechanism causing year-to-year fluctuations. As such, previous studies on community stability might have overemphasised the role of compensatory dynamics in real-world ecosystems, and particularly in manipulative conditions, when not considering the possible overriding effects of long-term directional trends.

Details

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)792-802
Number of pages11
JournalJournal of vegetation science
Volume31
Issue number5
Publication statusPublished - 1 Sept 2020
Peer-reviewedYes

Keywords

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Keywords

  • asynchrony, biodiversity, stability, synchrony, temporal dynamics, year-to-year fluctuation