Data-driven fusion of turnaround sub-processes to predict aircraft ground time
Research output: Contribution to book/Conference proceedings/Anthology/Report › Conference contribution › Contributed › peer-review
Contributors
Abstract
The robust air traffic network relies on safe and punctual arrivals to and departures from airports. Efficient aircraft ground operations and maintenance thus significantly contribute to stable traffic in- and outbound flows. Any improved prediction of the aircraft turnaround time can help reduce local delays and their propagation through the network. Key is forecasting the related operational states to allow for adjusted planning and delay mitigation strategies. In this paper, we target to predict incrementally the turnaround time by means of machine learning classification algorithms based on reallife data collected at the airport. A turnaround sub-processes fusion model for improving the forecast precision is developed to integrate the sequential information from the turnaround pattern, which mainly considers the duration of the various turnaround sub-processes and their overlapping conditions. Results indicate that the data-driven fusion model enhances the robustness and reliability of the aircraft turnaround time prediction. It so can efficiently support airport management. We show, that the presented methodology holds universal character, can be applied to any airport holding a significant demand/capacity ratio.
Details
| Original language | English |
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| Title of host publication | 25th Air Transport Research Society (ATRS) World Conference |
| Pages | 1-8 |
| Number of pages | 8 |
| Publication status | Published - Jul 2022 |
| Peer-reviewed | Yes |
External IDs
| ORCID | /0009-0005-7833-7169/work/184005035 |
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Keywords
Research priority areas of TU Dresden
DFG Classification of Subject Areas according to Review Boards
Subject groups, research areas, subject areas according to Destatis
Keywords
- aircraft ground operations, machine learning, data-driven, turnaround sub-processes fusion model, turnaround time prediction