Data-driven fusion of turnaround sub-processes to predict aircraft ground time

Research output: Contribution to book/Conference proceedings/Anthology/ReportConference contributionContributedpeer-review

Contributors

Abstract

The robust air traffic network relies on safe and punctual arrivals to and departures from airports. Efficient aircraft ground operations and maintenance thus significantly contribute to stable traffic in- and outbound flows. Any improved prediction of the aircraft turnaround time can help reduce local delays and their propagation through the network. Key is forecasting the related operational states to allow for adjusted planning and delay mitigation strategies. In this paper, we target to predict incrementally the turnaround time by means of machine learning classification algorithms based on reallife data collected at the airport. A turnaround sub-processes fusion model for improving the forecast precision is developed to integrate the sequential information from the turnaround pattern, which mainly considers the duration of the various turnaround sub-processes and their overlapping conditions. Results indicate that the data-driven fusion model enhances the robustness and reliability of the aircraft turnaround time prediction. It so can efficiently support airport management. We show, that the presented methodology holds universal character, can be applied to any airport holding a significant demand/capacity ratio.

Details

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication25th Air Transport Research Society (ATRS) World Conference
Pages1-8
Number of pages8
Publication statusPublished - Jul 2022
Peer-reviewedYes

External IDs

ORCID /0009-0005-7833-7169/work/184005035

Keywords

Research priority areas of TU Dresden

DFG Classification of Subject Areas according to Review Boards

Subject groups, research areas, subject areas according to Destatis

Keywords

  • aircraft ground operations, machine learning, data-driven, turnaround sub-processes fusion model, turnaround time prediction