COVID-19 impact on agriculture and food security in Africa. A systematic review and meta-analysis

Research output: Contribution to journalResearch articleContributedpeer-review

Contributors

  • Roland Azibo Balgah - , University of Bamenda (Author)
  • Emmanuel Olatunbosun Benjamin - , Technical University of Munich (Author)
  • Jude Ndzifon Kimengsi - , Chair of Tropical and International Forestry, University of Bamenda (Author)
  • Gertrud Buchenrieder - , Bundeswehr University of Munich, Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies (Author)

Abstract

While agriculture is the life-wire for many African economies, the sector has been exposed to multiple shocks, leading to food insecurity concerns. COVID-19′s seemingly perennial nature suggests the need for African agrarian systems to explore pathways to achieve food security in the midst of pandemics. However, existing knowledge on the effects of COVID-19 agriculture and food security remains fragmented. This article reviews preliminary documented and projected effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on agriculture and food security in Africa, combining an inter-rater reliability (IRR) – based systematic review with meta-analysis on 74 rigorously selected published items, including 157 case studies. Our analysis hitches on the sustainable livelihoods framework and a novel systematic review and meta-analysis protocol (Tadesse, 2020). An IRR score of 0.93 suggests overwhelming convergence of contemporary COVID-19 scholarship on the negative economic effects of COVID-19 on agricultural supply and demand across Africa, which, in combination with other factors, culminates in increasing, multi-dimensional food insecurity, hitting hard on the poor and vulnerable. The meta-analysis suggests that agriculture is more exposed to COVID-19 effects than other (non-agricultural) sectors, with an overall pooled association effect size (RR) for the COVID-19 pandemic and farming occupation of 1.25 (95% CI, 0.72–0.96; P = 0.01), and significant heterogeneity between studies (Ι2 = 100%, P < 0.00). Future reviews and meta analyses increasingly focusing on methodological details are recommended, to provide insights on COVID-19 effects on African agriculture and food security. Policy implications of prolonged COVID-19 effects on agriculture and food security in Africa are then contemplated.

Details

Original languageEnglish
Article number100523
JournalWorld Development Perspectives
Volume31
Publication statusPublished - Sept 2023
Peer-reviewedYes

External IDs

ORCID /0000-0002-1927-7443/work/173052741

Keywords

Sustainable Development Goals

Keywords

  • Africa, Agriculture, COVID-19, Food security, Meta-analysis, Systematic review