CoDy: Counterfactual Explainers for Dynamic Graphs
Research output: Contribution to book/Conference proceedings/Anthology/Report › Conference contribution › Contributed › peer-review
Contributors
Abstract
Temporal Graph Neural Networks (TGNNs) are widely used to model dynamic systems where relationships and features evolve over time. Although TGNNs demonstrate strong predictive capabilities in these domains, their complex architectures pose significant challenges for explainability. Counterfactual explanation methods provide a promising solution by illustrating how modifications to input graphs can influence model predictions. To address this challenge, we present CoDy—Counterfactual Explainer for Dynamic Graphs—a model-agnostic, instance-level explanation approach that identifies counterfactual subgraphs to interpret TGNN predictions. CoDy employs a search algorithm that combines Monte Carlo Tree Search with heuristic selection policies, efficiently exploring a vast search space of potential explanatory subgraphs by leveraging spatial, temporal, and local event impact information. Extensive experiments against state-of-the-art factual and counterfactual baselines demonstrate CoDy’s effectiveness, with improvements of 16% in AUFSC+ over the strongest baseline. Our code is available at: https://github.com/daniel-gomm/CoDy
Details
| Original language | English |
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| Title of host publication | Proceedings of Machine Learning Research |
| Pages | 50762-50785 |
| Number of pages | 24 |
| Volume | 267 |
| Publication status | Published - 2025 |
| Peer-reviewed | Yes |
Publication series
| Series | Proceedings of Machine Learning Research |
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Conference
| Title | 42nd International Conference on Machine Learning |
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| Abbreviated title | ICML 2025 |
| Conference number | 42 |
| Duration | 13 - 19 July 2025 |
| Website | |
| Location | Vancouver Convention Center |
| City | Vancouver |
| Country | Canada |
External IDs
| ORCID | /0000-0001-5458-8645/work/200631676 |
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