Climate change threatens old-growth forests in the Northern Alps
Research output: Contribution to journal › Research article › Contributed › peer-review
Contributors
Abstract
Old-growth forests are of high habitat value for many forest-dwelling species and of high cultural value for society. In areas with a long history of human land-use, such as in Central Europe, few old-growth forests remain, located predominately in protected areas such as national parks and wilderness areas. Protected areas safeguard old-growth forests against human land use, but not against the impacts of anthropogenic climate change. Using simulation-based scenario analyses we here assessed the development of old-growth in the 21st century, using a national park in the Northern Alps as example. Under climate change, old-growth decreased by up to 21% relative to simulations under baseline climate, with decreasing size and cohesion of old-growth patches on the landscape. Climate-mediated increases in disturbance were driving the decline in old-growth forests, with a near complete loss in old-growth beyond disturbance rates of 1.5% yr−1. Conversely, structurally complex forests increased with disturbance, suggesting a decoupling of forest structure and demography in the 21st century. We conclude that climate change presents an indirect anthropogenic threat to old-growth forests in protected areas. Our findings highlight that climate impacts need to be considered explicitly in conservation planning, in order not to overestimate the effectiveness of protected areas.
Details
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Article number | 094057 |
| Journal | Environmental research letters |
| Volume | 20 |
| Issue number | 9 |
| Publication status | Published - 1 Sept 2025 |
| Peer-reviewed | Yes |
External IDs
| ORCID | /0000-0002-7968-4489/work/225495645 |
|---|---|
| ORCID | /0000-0001-8091-6075/work/225495790 |
Keywords
Sustainable Development Goals
ASJC Scopus subject areas
Keywords
- Berchtesgaden National Park, climate impacts, forest disturbance, old forests, simulation modeling, structural complexity