Agent-based simulation for aircraft stand operations to predict ground time using machine learning
Research output: Contribution to book/Conference proceedings/Anthology/Report › Conference contribution › Contributed › peer-review
Contributors
Abstract
Punctual and reliable aircraft ground handling operations at the airports significantly contribute to efficient traffic flows in the air traffic network. Any improved prediction of aircraft ground times can help to reduce local delays and delay propagation in the network by taking into account the forecast of future operational states for adjusted planning and delay mitigation strategies. In our work, we target to predict aircraft ground times at their stands by machine learning algorithms, where the complete turnaround sub-processes and domain knowledge are input for the models. We develop two types of models, the first type is regression-oriented that intends to forecast the exact aircraft ground time. And the second one is classification-oriented, which attempts to confirm aircraft offblock time adherence. An agent-based approach is applied to generate some synthetic data, besides, we also obtain an actual aircraft ground handling dataset from a certain European airport to validate our models. Finally, the interpretable method for the machine learning models is used to analyse the feature importances, and the feature affections on the prediction results. The results show that our classification model is capable to predict accurate aircraft off-block time adherence.
Details
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Title of host publication | 2021 IEEE/AIAA 40th Digital Avionics Systems Conference (DASC) |
| Pages | 1-8 |
| Number of pages | 8 |
| ISBN (electronic) | 978-1-6654-3420-1 |
| Publication status | Published - Oct 2021 |
| Peer-reviewed | Yes |
External IDs
| Scopus | 85122782891 |
|---|---|
| ORCID | /0009-0005-7833-7169/work/184005034 |
Keywords
Research priority areas of TU Dresden
DFG Classification of Subject Areas according to Review Boards
ASJC Scopus subject areas
Keywords
- agent-based model, aircraft ground time prediction, aircraft stand operations, airport collaborative decision making, interpretable machine learning