A classification and regression tree analysis identifies subgroups of childhood type 1 diabetes

Research output: Contribution to journalResearch articleContributedpeer-review

Contributors

  • DiMelli Study group and DPV Study group - (Author)

Abstract

Background Diabetes in childhood and adolescence includes autoimmune and non-autoimmune forms with heterogeneity in clinical and biochemical presentations. An unresolved question is whether there are subtypes, endotypes, or theratypes within these forms of diabetes.Methods The multivariable classification and regression tree (CART) analysis method was used to identify sub-groups of diabetes with differing residual C-peptide levels in patients with newly diagnosed diabetes before 20 years of age (n=1192). The robustness of the model was assessed in a confirmation and prognosis cohort (n=2722).Findings The analysis selected age, haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), and body mass index (BMI) as split parameters that classified patients into seven islet autoantibody-positive and three autoantibody-negative groups. There were substantial differences in genetics, inflammatory markers, diabetes family history, lipids, 25-OH-Vitamin D3, insulin treatment, insulin sensitivity and insulin autoimmunity among the groups, and the method stratified patients with potentially different pathogeneses and prognoses. Interferon-gamma and/or tumour necrosis factor inflammatory signatures were enriched in the youngest islet autoantibody-positive groups and in patients with the lowest C-peptide values, while higher BMI and type 2 diabetes characteristics were found in older patients. The prognostic relevance was demonstrated by persistent differences in HbA1c at 7 years median follow-up.Interpretation This multivariable analysis revealed subgroups of young patients with diabetes that have potential pathogenetic and therapeutic relevance.Copyright (c) 2022 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/)

Details

Original languageEnglish
Article number104118
Number of pages15
JournalEBioMedicine
Volume82
Publication statusPublished - Aug 2022
Peer-reviewedYes

External IDs

PubMed 35803018
WOS 000829756300015
Mendeley b9c79056-a6c0-319a-b9c8-c13c122a9c52
ORCID /0000-0002-8704-4713/work/141544365

Keywords

Research priority areas of TU Dresden

DFG Classification of Subject Areas according to Review Boards

Sustainable Development Goals

Keywords

  • C-peptide, CART analysis, Childhood autoimmune disease, Diabetes endotypes, Diabetes in childhood, Inflammation, Islet autoantibody, Obesity, Type 1 diabetes genetic susceptibility, Autoimmunity, Glycated Hemoglobin/analysis, Autoantibodies, Humans, C-Peptide, Young Adult, Adolescent, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1/diagnosis, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2, Child