Probabilistic Causality in Markovian Models
Activity: Talk or presentation at external institutions/events › Keynote › Invited
Persons and affiliations
Date
24 Jul 2026
Description
As modern software systems control more and more aspects of our everyday lives, they grow increasingly complex. Therefore, the goal of modern IT science does not only lie in the development of powerful and versatile systems, but also in providing comprehensive techniques to understand these systems. This motivates research on formal notion of cause-effect relations in operational models that enhance the understanding why properties hold or not, and which system components are mostly responsible for the satisfaction or violation of properties.The talk will present recent work on formal concepts of cause-effect reasoning in Markov chains and Markov decision processes. It will present formalizations of causality based on the probability-raising principle, essentially stating that causes raise the probabilities of their effects, and methods to solve related algorithmic questions such as checking cause-effect relationship for a given effect and a cause candidate and finding "good" causes for a given effect with respect to some quality criterion for causes.
Workshop
| Title | 7th Workshop on Formal Reasoning about Causation, Responsibility, and Explanations in Science and Technology |
|---|---|
| Abbreviated title | CREST 2026 |
| Conference number | 7 |
| Description | Satellite Event of FLoC 2026 |
| Duration | 24 July 2026 |
| Website | |
| Degree of recognition | International event |
| Location | Instituto Universitario de Lisboa (ISCTE-IUL) |
| City | Lissabon |
| Country | Portugal |