Exploring the effects of perception errors and anticipation strategies on traffic accidents - A simulation study

Publikation: Beitrag in Buch/Konferenzbericht/Sammelband/GutachtenBeitrag in KonferenzbandBeigetragenBegutachtung

Beitragende

  • Hans Van Lint - , Technische Universität Delft (Autor:in)
  • Simeon Calvert - , Technische Universität Delft (Autor:in)
  • Wouter Schakel - , Technische Universität Delft (Autor:in)
  • Meng Wang - , Technische Universität Delft (Autor:in)
  • Alexander Verbraeck - , Technische Universität Delft (Autor:in)

Abstract

It is remarkable that drivers (on average) can safely navigate through dense traffic at high speeds—conditions in which the time headways between vehicles are in the same order of magnitude as human reaction times. One explanation for this is the ability of drivers to anticipate on the traffic conditions in their surroundings. In this paper, we study, through simulation, the effects of reaction times, errors in perception and anticipation on the probability of accidents on freeways. To this end we extend an existing model for car following and lane changing with a perception and anticipation model inspired by Ensley’s three levels of situational awareness (perception, understanding and projection). By systematically varying driving behavior with different reaction times over a range of perception errors, and anticipation strategies, we compute efficiency effects (capacity and total time spent) and safety effects (the probability density of accidents happening as a function of these different contributing factors and errors). The results provide some evidence that safe driving is robust with respect to perception errors under simple anticipation strategies and small reaction times. When reaction times grow larger, more advanced anticipation strategies are needed to guarantee safe driving.

Details

OriginalspracheEnglisch
TitelAdvances in Human Factors in Simulation and Modeling - Proceedings of the AHFE 2017 International Conference on Human Factors in Simulation and Modeling, 2017
Redakteure/-innenDaniel N. Cassenti
Herausgeber (Verlag)Springer Verlag
Seiten249-261
Seitenumfang13
ISBN (Print)9783319605906
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - 2018
Peer-Review-StatusJa
Extern publiziertJa

Publikationsreihe

ReiheAdvances in Intelligent Systems and Computing
Band591
ISSN2194-5357

Konferenz

Titel2017 2nd International Conference on Human Factors and Simulation
Veranstaltungsnummer2
Beschreibungpart of 8th International Conference on Applied Human Factors and Ergonomics (AHFE 2017)
Dauer17 - 21 Juli 2017
OrtThe Westin Bonaventure Hotel
StadtLos Angeles
LandUSA/Vereinigte Staaten

Externe IDs

ORCID /0000-0001-6555-5558/work/171064730

Schlagworte

Ziele für nachhaltige Entwicklung

Schlagwörter

  • Anticipation strategies, Awareness, Driving behavior, Perception errors, Traffic safety