A simple clinical score to reduce unnecessary testing for Puumala hantavirus

Publikation: Beitrag in FachzeitschriftForschungsartikelBeigetragenBegutachtung

Beitragende

  • Justus Brockmann - , Rheinisch-Westfälische Technische Hochschule Aachen, Universität Leipzig (Autor:in)
  • Michael Kleines - , Rheinisch-Westfälische Technische Hochschule Aachen (Autor:in)
  • Narmin Ghaffari Laleh - , Else Kröner Fresenius Zentrum für Digitale Gesundheit (Autor:in)
  • Jakob Nikolas Kather - , Else Kröner Fresenius Zentrum für Digitale Gesundheit (Autor:in)
  • Stephanie Wied - , Rheinisch-Westfälische Technische Hochschule Aachen (Autor:in)
  • Jürgen Floege - , Rheinisch-Westfälische Technische Hochschule Aachen (Autor:in)
  • Gerald S. Braun - , Rheinisch-Westfälische Technische Hochschule Aachen, REGIOMED Klinikum Coburg, University of Split (Autor:in)

Abstract

Background Puumala hantavirus (PUUV) causes nephropathia epidemica (NE), an endemic form of transient acute renal injury (AKI). Serological testing is the mainstay of diagnosis. It was the aim of the present study to assist decision-making for serological testing by constructing a simple tool that predicts the likelihood of PUUV positivity. Methods We conducted a comparative cohort study of all PUUV-tested cases at Aachen University tertiary care center in Germany between mid-2013 and mid-2021. N = 293 qualified for inclusion; N = 30 had a positive test result and clinical NE; N = 263 were negative. Two predictive point scores, the Aachen PUUV Score (APS) 1 and 2, respectively, were derived with the aid of logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis by determining the presence of four admission parameters. For internal validation, the internal Monte Carlo method was applied. In addition, partial external validation was performed using an independent historic cohort of N = 41 positive cases of NE. Results APS1 is recommended for clinical use as it estimated the probability of PUUV positivity in the entire medical population tested. With a range from 0 to 6 points, it yielded an area under the curve of 0.94 by allotting 2 points each for fever or headache and 1 point each for AKI or LDH>300 U/L. A point sum of 0–2 safely predicted negativity for PUUV, as was confirmed in the NE validation cohort. Conclusion Here, we present a novel, easy-to-use tool to guide the diagnostic management of suspected PUUV infection/NE and to safely avoid unnecessary serological testing, as indicated by point sum class 0–2. Since 67% of the cohort fell into this stratum, half of the testing should be avoidable in the future.

Details

OriginalspracheEnglisch
Aufsatznummere0304500
Seitenumfang16
FachzeitschriftPloS one
Jahrgang19 (2024)
Ausgabenummer5 May
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - 31 Mai 2024
Peer-Review-StatusJa

Externe IDs

PubMed 38820375

Schlagworte

ASJC Scopus Sachgebiete

Schlagwörter

  • Humans, Middle Aged, Male, Unnecessary Procedures, Serologic Tests/methods, Puumala virus, Female, Adult, ROC Curve, Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome/diagnosis, Aged, Germany, Cohort Studies

Bibliotheksschlagworte