Reliable evacuation planning via demand inflation and supply deflation

Publikation: Beitrag in FachzeitschriftForschungsartikelBeigetragenBegutachtung

Beitragende

  • Man Wo Ng - , University of Texas at Austin (Autor:in)
  • S. Travis Waller - , University of Texas at Austin (Autor:in)

Abstract

This paper presents an evacuation route planning model that both accounts for demand uncertainty (i.e. the number of evacuees) as well as capacity uncertainty (i.e. the road capacities). To ensure reliability, the model plans for more evacuees (i.e. demand inflation) and less road capacity (i.e. supply deflation). A major contribution is that we provide a framework to determine the amount of demand inflation/supply deflation necessary to ensure a user-specified reliability level. The model is shown to be a natural generalization of previously proposed evacuation models. A small numerical case study reveals the key characteristics of the model.

Details

OriginalspracheEnglisch
Seiten (von - bis)1086-1094
Seitenumfang9
FachzeitschriftTransportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review
Jahrgang46
Ausgabenummer6
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - Nov. 2010
Peer-Review-StatusJa
Extern publiziertJa

Externe IDs

ORCID /0000-0002-2939-2090/work/141543909

Schlagworte

Schlagwörter

  • Demand inflation, Dynamic traffic assignment, Evacuation, Reliability, Supply deflation, Uncertainty