Old World megadroughts and pluvials during the Common Era

Publikation: Beitrag in FachzeitschriftForschungsartikelBeigetragenBegutachtung

Beitragende

  • Edward R. Cook - , Columbia University (Autor:in)
  • Richard Seager - , Columbia University (Autor:in)
  • Yochanan Kushnir - , Columbia University (Autor:in)
  • Keith R. Briffa - , University of East Anglia (Autor:in)
  • Ulf Büntgen - , Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research (Autor:in)
  • David Frank - , Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research (Autor:in)
  • Paul J. Krusic - , Navarino Environmental Observatory (Autor:in)
  • Willy Tegel - , Albert-Ludwigs-Universität Freiburg (Autor:in)
  • Gerard Vander Schrier - , Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (Autor:in)
  • Laia Andreu-Hayles - , Columbia University (Autor:in)
  • Mike Baillie - , Queen's University Belfast (Autor:in)
  • Claudia Baittinger - , National Museum of Denmark (Autor:in)
  • Niels Bleicher - , Competence Center for Underwater Archaeology and Dendrochronology (Autor:in)
  • Niels Bonde - , National Museum of Denmark (Autor:in)
  • David Brown - , Queen's University Belfast (Autor:in)
  • Marco Carrer - , Università degli studi di Padova (Autor:in)
  • Richard Cooper - , University of East Anglia (Autor:in)
  • Katarina Eùfar - , University of Ljubljana (Autor:in)
  • Christoph DIttmar - , Environmental Research and Education (Autor:in)
  • Jan Esper - , Johannes Gutenberg-Universität Mainz (Autor:in)
  • Carol Griggs - , Cornell University (Autor:in)
  • Björn Gunnarson - , Stockholm University (Autor:in)
  • Björn Günther - , Professur für Forstnutzung (Autor:in)
  • Emilia Gutierrez - , Universitat de Barcelona (Autor:in)
  • Kristof Haneca - , Flanders Heritage Agency (Autor:in)
  • Samuli Helama - , Luke Natural Resources Institute Finland (Autor:in)
  • Franz Herzig - , Bayerisches Landesamt für Denkmalpflege (Autor:in)
  • Karl Uwe Heussner - , German Archaeological Institute (Autor:in)
  • Jutta Hofmann - , Jahrringlabor Hofmann (Autor:in)
  • Pavel Janda - , Czech University of Life Sciences Prague (Autor:in)
  • Raymond Kontic - , Labor Dendron (Autor:in)
  • Nesibe Köse - , Istanbul University (Autor:in)
  • Tomáš Kyncl - , Moravian Dendro-Labor (Autor:in)
  • Tom Levaniè - , Slovenian Forestry Institute (Autor:in)
  • Hans Linderholm - , University of Gothenburg (Autor:in)
  • Sturt Manning - , Cornell University (Autor:in)
  • Thomas M. Melvin - , University of East Anglia (Autor:in)
  • Daniel Miles - , University of Oxford (Autor:in)
  • Burkhard Neuwirth - , Tree Ring Analyses (Autor:in)
  • Kurt Nicolussi - , Universität Innsbruck (Autor:in)
  • Paola Nola - , Università degli Studi di Pavia (Autor:in)
  • Momchil Panayotov - , Universität für Forstwirtschaft Sofia (Autor:in)
  • Ionel Popa - , Forest Research and Management Institute (Autor:in)
  • Andreas Rothe - , Hochschule für angewandte Wissenschaften Weihenstephan-Triesdorf (Autor:in)
  • Kristina Seftigen - , University of Gothenburg (Autor:in)
  • Andrea Seim - , University of Gothenburg (Autor:in)
  • Helene Svarva - , Norwegian University of Science and Technology (Autor:in)
  • Miroslav Svoboda - , Czech University of Life Sciences Prague (Autor:in)
  • Terje Thun - , Norwegian University of Science and Technology (Autor:in)
  • Mauri Timonen - , Luke Natural Resources Institute Finland (Autor:in)
  • Ramzi Touchan - , University of Arizona (Autor:in)
  • Volodymyr Trotsiuk - , Czech University of Life Sciences Prague (Autor:in)
  • Valerie Trouet - , University of Arizona (Autor:in)
  • Felix Walder - , Competence Center for Underwater Archaeology and Dendrochronology (Autor:in)
  • Tomasz Wany - , University of Arizona, Nicolaus Copernicus University in Toruń (Autor:in)
  • Rob Wilson - , University of St Andrews (Autor:in)
  • Christian Zang - , Technische Universität München (Autor:in)

Abstract

Climate model projections suggest widespread drying in the Mediterranean Basin and wetting in Fennoscandia in the coming decades largely as a consequence of greenhouse gas forcing of climate. To place these and other "Old World" climate projections into historical perspective based on more complete estimates of natural hydroclimatic variability, we have developed the "Old World Drought Atlas" (OWDA), a set of year-to-year maps of tree-ring reconstructed summer wetness and dryness over Europe and the Mediterranean Basin during the Common Era. TheOWDAmatches historical accounts of severe drought and wetness with a spatial completeness not previously available. In addition, megadroughts reconstructed over north-central Europe in the 11th and mid-15th centuries reinforce other evidence from North America and Asia that droughts were more severe, extensive, and prolonged over Northern Hemisphere land areas before the 20th century, with an inadequate understanding of their causes. The OWDA provides new data to determine the causes of Old World drought and wetness and attribute past climate variability to forced and/or internal variability.

Details

OriginalspracheEnglisch
Aufsatznummere1500561
FachzeitschriftScience advances
Jahrgang1
Ausgabenummer10
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - Nov. 2015
Peer-Review-StatusJa

Schlagworte

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