New prostate cancer risk groups by PSMA-PET (PPP3): an international, retrospective, registry-based cohort study

Publikation: Beitrag in Fachzeitschrift › Forschungsartikel › Beigetragen › Begutachtung

Beitragende

  • PROMISE Registry Group - (Autor:in)
  • Madeleine J. Karpinski - , Universitätsklinikum Essen, Westfälische Wilhelms-Universität Münster, Universität zu Köln (Autor:in)
  • Caner Civan - , Universitätsklinikum Essen, Universität zu Köln (Autor:in)
  • Isabel Rauscher - , Technische Universität München (Autor:in)
  • Osman Güven - , Technische Universität München (Autor:in)
  • Matthias Eiber - , Technische Universität München, Bayerisches Zentrum für Krebsforschung (BZKF) (Autor:in)
  • Sebastian Hoberück - , Klinik und Poliklinik für Nuklearmedizin, Universitätsklinikum Carl Gustav Carus Dresden (Autor:in)
  • Matthias Miederer - , Klinik und Poliklinik für Nuklearmedizin, Nationales Centrum für Tumorerkrankungen Dresden (NCT/UCC), Universitätsklinikum Carl Gustav Carus Dresden (Autor:in)
  • Ralph A. Bundschuh - , Klinik und Poliklinik für Nuklearmedizin, Universitätsklinikum Carl Gustav Carus Dresden (Autor:in)
  • Tobias Hölscher - , Klinik und Poliklinik für Strahlentherapie und Radioonkologie, Universitätsklinikum Carl Gustav Carus Dresden (Autor:in)
  • Jeremie Calais - , University of California at Los Angeles (Autor:in)
  • Lela Theus - , University of California at Los Angeles (Autor:in)
  • Andrew T. Nguyen - , University of California at Los Angeles (Autor:in)
  • Helen Scholtissek - , Universität Augsburg (Autor:in)
  • Constantin Lapa - , Universität Augsburg (Autor:in)
  • Andrea Di Giorgio - , Università di Bologna (Autor:in)
  • Andrea Farolfi - , IRCCS Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria di Bologna (Autor:in)
  • Dominic Ufton - , Universität zu Köln (Autor:in)
  • Alexander Drzezga - , Universität zu Köln (Autor:in)
  • Jolanta Kunikowska - , Medical University of Warsaw (Autor:in)
  • Kacper Pełka - , Medical University of Warsaw (Autor:in)
  • Laura Evangelista - , IRCCS Istituto Clinico Humanitas - Rozzano (Milano), Humanitas University (Autor:in)
  • Glenn Bauman - , Western University (Autor:in)
  • Göksel Alçın - , Istanbul Traınıng And Research Hospıtal (Autor:in)
  • Stephan Beintner-Skawran - , Universität Zürich (Autor:in)
  • Mohd Fazrin Mohd Rohani - , Kuala Lumpur Hospital, Institut Kanser Negara (IKN) (Autor:in)
  • Jonathan Miksch - , Universität Ulm (Autor:in)
  • Anika Hüsing - , Universitätsklinikum Essen (Autor:in)
  • Claudia Kesch - , Universitätsklinikum Essen (Autor:in)
  • Ken Herrmann - , Universitätsklinikum Essen (Autor:in)
  • Martin Stuschke - , Universitätsklinikum Essen (Autor:in)
  • Lale Umutlu - , Universitätsklinikum Essen (Autor:in)
  • Andrei Gafita - , Johns Hopkins Medicine (Autor:in)
  • Michael S. Hofman - , Peter Maccallum Cancer Centre, University of Melbourne (Autor:in)
  • Thomas A. Hope - , University of California at San Francisco (Autor:in)
  • Karolien Goffin - , KU Leuven (Autor:in)
  • Felix Kind - , Universitätsklinikum Freiburg (Autor:in)
  • Daniele A. Pizzuto - , Fondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli IRCCS (Autor:in)
  • Timo F.W. Soeterik - , Utrecht University, St. Antonius Ziekenhuis (Autor:in)
  • Halil Kömek - , University of Health Sciences (Autor:in)
  • Louise Emmett - , St. Vincent's Hospital Sydney (Autor:in)
  • Andrej Vondrak - , IZOTOPCENTRUM, s.r.o. – Nuclear Medicine Centrum (Autor:in)
  • Tomas Pinter - , IZOTOPCENTRUM, s.r.o. – Nuclear Medicine Centrum (Autor:in)
  • Francesco Lanfranchi - , University of Genoa (Autor:in)
  • Matteo Bauckneht - , University of Genoa, IRCCS AOU policlinico San Martino - IST (Autor:in)
  • Lena M. Unterrainer - , Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München (LMU) (Autor:in)
  • Adrien Holzgreve - , University of California at Los Angeles, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München (LMU) (Autor:in)

Abstract

Background Prostate-specific membrane antigen (PSMA)-PET usage in patients with prostate cancer is growing rapidly. Thus, novel risk-group definitions based on PSMA-PET are urgently needed for guidelines, clinical use, and trial study design. We report improved risk classification based on PSMA-PET Prostate Cancer Molecular Imaging Standardized Evaluation (PROMISE; PPP) nomograms (PPP3) to prognosticate 3-year, 5-year, and 7-year overall survival. Methods In this international, retrospective, registry-based cohort study, we collected data from the PROMISE PET registry with ongoing overall survival follow-up. Male patients (aged ≥18 years) with histological proven prostate cancer at any disease stage and any performance status, who underwent any PSMA-PET between Dec 6, 2012, and June 26, 2024, were included in the registry. Patients with neuroendocrine pattern or metastasised or disseminated malignancy other than prostate cancer were excluded. 35 investigator sites in Europe, Asia, Australia, North America, and South America were split pairwise (2:1) into development and validation cohorts. Entire investigator sites were split pairwise according to their site characteristics (ie, number of patients per disease group, country, follow-up). The primary study objective was overall survival. PPP3 nomograms were created based on Cox regression models with least absolute shrinkage and selection operator penalty to prognosticate 3-year, 5-year, and 7-year overall survival. Calibration curves and Harrell's c indices were applied and head-to-head comparison with clinical risk scores separated for each disease subgroup was conducted. Based on the visual PPP3 nomogram, a simplified risk-stratification table was created. Findings We analysed 11 154 patients and 7253 were included in the development cohort and 3901 in the validation cohort. Median follow-up to censoring or death was 4·9 years (IQR 3·5–6·6). Clinical disease group and PROMISE metrics were combined into visual and quantitative PPP3 nomograms, respectively. C indices were 0·83 (95% CI 0·82–0·84) for the visual nomogram and 0·84 (0·82–0·85) for the quantitative nomogram. Both nomograms and the simplified risk stratification table were accurate and equal or superior compared with established clinical risk scores (International Staging Collaboration for Cancer of the Prostate, European Association of Urology, a nomogram defined by Gafita and colleagues, and National Comprehensive Cancer Network). Interpretation We present new risk nomograms by PROMISE along with a simple table to prognosticate 3-year, 5-year, and 7-year overall survival in prostate cancer. PROMISE and PPP3 assessments are freely available online for global implementation. Funding German Research Foundation, Prostate Cancer Foundation, Innovative Health Initiative Joint Undertaking, Novartis, AstraZeneca, and Amgen.

Details

OriginalspracheEnglisch
Seiten (von - bis)480-490
Seitenumfang11
FachzeitschriftThe Lancet Oncology
Jahrgang27
Ausgabenummer4
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - Apr. 2026
Peer-Review-StatusJa

Externe IDs

PubMed 41819113
ORCID /0000-0003-1776-9556/work/224858699

Schlagworte

Ziele für nachhaltige Entwicklung

ASJC Scopus Sachgebiete