Life on the edge: A new toolbox for population-level climate change vulnerability assessments

Publikation: Beitrag in FachzeitschriftForschungsartikelBeigetragenBegutachtung

Beitragende

  • Christopher D. Barratt - , Deutsches Zentrum für integrative Biodiversitätsforschung (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Universität Leipzig, Naturalis Biodiversity Center, Wageningen University & Research (WUR) (Autor:in)
  • Renske E. Onstein - , Deutsches Zentrum für integrative Biodiversitätsforschung (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Naturalis Biodiversity Center (Autor:in)
  • Malin L. Pinsky - , Rutgers - The State University of New Jersey, New Brunswick, University of California at Santa Cruz (Autor:in)
  • Sebastian Steinfartz - , Universität Leipzig (Autor:in)
  • Hjalmar S. Kühl - , Professur für Diversität der Säugetiere (g.B. Senckenberg), Senckenberg Gesellschaft für Naturforschung (Autor:in)
  • Brenna R. Forester - , United States Fish & Wildlife Service (Autor:in)
  • Orly Razgour - , University of Exeter (Autor:in)

Abstract

Global change is impacting biodiversity across all habitats on earth. New selection pressures from changing climatic conditions and other anthropogenic activities are creating heterogeneous ecological and evolutionary responses across many species' geographic ranges. Yet we currently lack standardised and reproducible tools to effectively predict the resulting patterns in species vulnerability to declines or range changes. We developed an informatic toolbox that integrates ecological, environmental and genomic data and analyses (environmental dissimilarity, species distribution models, landscape connectivity, neutral and adaptive genetic diversity, genotype-environment associations and genomic offset) to estimate population vulnerability. In our toolbox, functions and data structures are coded in a standardised way so that it is applicable to any species or geographic region where appropriate data are available, for example individual or population sampling and genomic datasets (e.g. RAD-seq, ddRAD-seq, whole genome sequencing data) representing environmental variation across the species geographic range. To demonstrate multi-species applicability, we apply our toolbox to three georeferenced genomic datasets for co-occurring East African spiny reed frogs (Afrixalus fornasini, A. delicatus and A. sylvaticus) to predict their population vulnerability, as well as demonstrating that range loss projections based on adaptive variation can be accurately reproduced from a previous study using data for two European bat species (Myotis escalerai and M. crypticus). Our framework sets the stage for large scale, multi-species genomic datasets to be leveraged in a novel climate change vulnerability framework to quantify intraspecific differences in genetic diversity, local adaptation, range shifts and population vulnerability based on exposure, sensitivity and landscape barriers.

Details

OriginalspracheEnglisch
Seiten (von - bis)2038-2058
Seitenumfang21
FachzeitschriftMethods in Ecology and Evolution
Jahrgang15
Ausgabenummer11
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - Nov. 2024
Peer-Review-StatusJa

Schlagworte

Ziele für nachhaltige Entwicklung

Schlagwörter

  • adaptation, circuit theory, climate change vulnerability assessment, conservation, genomics, global change, informatics, predictive modelling