Learning from a large-scale calibration effort of multiple lake temperature models

Publikation: Beitrag in FachzeitschriftForschungsartikelBeigetragenBegutachtung

Beitragende

  • Johannes Feldbauer - , Professur für Limnologie (Gewässerökologie) (Autor:in)
  • Jorrit P. Mesman - , Uppsala University (Autor:in)
  • Tobias K. Andersen - , Technical University of Denmark (Autor:in)
  • Robert Ladwig - , Universität Aarhus (Autor:in)

Abstract

Process-based lake temperature models, formulated on hydrodynamic principles, are commonly used to simulate water temperature, enabling one to test different scenarios and draw conclusions about possible water quality developments or changes in important ecological processes such as greenhouse gas emissions. Even though there are several models available, a systematic comparison regarding their performance is currently missing. In this study, we calibrated four different one-dimensional (1D) lake temperature models for a global dataset of 73 lakes to compare their performance with respect to reproducing water temperature, and we estimated parameter sensitivity for the calibrated parameters. The parameter values, model performance, and parameter sensitivity differed between lake models and between clusters that were defined based on lake characteristics. No single model performed best, with each model performing better than the others in at least some of the lakes. From the findings, we advocate the application of model ensembles. Nonetheless, we also highlight the need to further improve weather forcing data, individual models, and multi-model ensemble techniques.

Details

OriginalspracheEnglisch
Seiten (von - bis)1183–1199
Seitenumfang17
FachzeitschriftHydrology and earth system sciences
Jahrgang29
Ausgabenummer4
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - 3 März 2025
Peer-Review-StatusJa

Externe IDs

Scopus 85219752475

Schlagworte