How earthquakes reshape carbonate aquifers: Modelling groundwater redistribution in Central Italy after the October 2016, Mw 6.5 Norcia earthquake

Publikation: Beitrag in Fachzeitschrift › Forschungsartikel › Beigetragen › Begutachtung

Beitragende

  • Enrica Zullo - , Università degli Studi di Cassino e del Lazio Meridionale, European University of Technology (EUt+) (Autor:in)
  • Matteo Albano - , Istituto Nazionale Di Geofisica E Vulcanologia (Autor:in)
  • Michele Saroli - , Università degli Studi di Cassino e del Lazio Meridionale, European University of Technology (EUt+), Istituto Nazionale Di Geofisica E Vulcanologia (Autor:in)
  • Marco Moro - , Istituto Nazionale Di Geofisica E Vulcanologia (Autor:in)
  • Gabriel Testa - , Università degli Studi di Cassino e del Lazio Meridionale, European University of Technology (EUt+) (Autor:in)
  • Marco Petitta - , Università degli Studi di Roma "La Sapienza" (Autor:in)
  • Nicola Bonora - , Università degli Studi di Cassino e del Lazio Meridionale, European University of Technology (EUt+) (Autor:in)
  • Thomas Reimann - , Professur für Grundwassersysteme (Autor:in)
  • Carlo Doglioni - , Università degli Studi di Roma "La Sapienza" (Autor:in)

Abstract

Study regionThe carbonate hydrostructures of the Italian Apennines host major aquifers that serve as a critical groundwater resource. In tectonically active settings, such as the Sibillini Mountains, structural discontinuities and deformation features exert a dominant control on the hydraulic conductivity and storage properties of aquifers, thereby modulating groundwater flow regimes.Study focusThe Mw 6.5 Norcia earthquake of October 30th 2016, part of the 2016 Central Italy seismic sequence, caused extensive ground deformation and surface faulting, triggering significant and long-lasting hydrogeological changes across the Sibillini Mountains carbonate aquifer. In this study, we develop a regional-scale conceptual hydrogeological model and implement it in steady-state numerical simulations. Our modelling reproduces pre- and post-seismic groundwater flow conditions and highlights the role of major active faults in governing aquifer hydrodynamics.New hydrological insights for the regionSimulations demonstrate that the earthquake-induced fault rupture, modelled as a binary (on-off) feature, facilitated cross-fault groundwater transfer, leading to a persistent depletion of the eastern aquifer sector and enhanced discharge in the central and western sectors. These findings provide evidence of how seismic events can reconfigure groundwater flow patterns in fractured carbonate systems, highlighting the critical role of tectonic structures in controlling their hydrodynamic balance.

Details

OriginalspracheEnglisch
Aufsatznummer103063
FachzeitschriftJournal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
Jahrgang63
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - Feb. 2026
Peer-Review-StatusJa

Externe IDs

ORCID /0000-0002-4259-0139/work/200630904
Scopus 105034556141

Schlagworte

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Ziele für nachhaltige Entwicklung

Schlagwörter

  • Groundwater flow numerical modelling, Earthquake, Active faults, Carbonate hydrostructure