Climate-change-driven growth decline of European beech forests

Publikation: Beitrag in FachzeitschriftForschungsartikelBeigetragenBegutachtung

Beitragende

  • Edurne Martinez del Castillo - (Autor:in)
  • Christian S. Zang - (Autor:in)
  • A. Buras - (Autor:in)
  • A. Hacket-Pain - (Autor:in)
  • J. Esper - (Autor:in)
  • R. Serrano-Notivoli - (Autor:in)
  • C. Hartl - (Autor:in)
  • R. Weigel - (Autor:in)
  • S. Klesse - (Autor:in)
  • V. Resco de Dios - (Autor:in)
  • T. Scharnweber - (Autor:in)
  • I. Dorado-Liñán - (Autor:in)
  • Marieke van der Maaten-Theunissen - , Professur für Waldwachstum und Produktion von Holzbiomasse (Autor:in)
  • Ernst van der Maaten - , Professur für Waldwachstum und Produktion von Holzbiomasse (Autor:in)
  • A. Jump - (Autor:in)
  • S. Mikac - (Autor:in)
  • B.-E. Banzragch - (Autor:in)
  • W. Beck - (Autor:in)
  • L. Cavin - (Autor:in)
  • H. Claessens - (Autor:in)
  • V. Čada - (Autor:in)
  • K. Čufar - (Autor:in)
  • C. Dulamsuren - (Autor:in)
  • J. Gričar - (Autor:in)
  • E. Gil-Pelegrín - (Autor:in)
  • P. Janda - (Autor:in)
  • M. Kazimirovic - (Autor:in)
  • J. Kreyling - (Autor:in)
  • N. Latte - (Autor:in)
  • C. Leuschner - (Autor:in)
  • L.A. Longares - (Autor:in)
  • A. Menzel - , Technische Universität München (Autor:in)
  • M. Merela - (Autor:in)
  • R. Motta - (Autor:in)
  • L. Muffler - (Autor:in)
  • P. Nola - (Autor:in)
  • A.M. Petritan - (Autor:in)
  • I.C. Petritan - (Autor:in)
  • P. Prislan - (Autor:in)
  • Á. Rubio-Cuadrado - (Autor:in)
  • M. Rydval - (Autor:in)
  • B. Stajić - (Autor:in)
  • M. Svoboda - (Autor:in)
  • E. Toromani - (Autor:in)
  • V. Trotsiuk - (Autor:in)
  • M. Wilmking - (Autor:in)
  • T. Zlatanov - (Autor:in)
  • M. de Luis - (Autor:in)

Abstract

The growth of past, present, and future forests was, is and will be affected by climate variability. This multifaceted relationship has been assessed in several regional studies, but spatially resolved, large-scale analyses are largely missing so far. Here we estimate recent changes in growth of 5800 beech trees (Fagus sylvatica L.) from 324 sites, representing the full geographic and climatic range of species. Future growth trends were predicted considering state-of-the-art climate scenarios. The validated models indicate growth declines across large region of the distribution in recent decades, and project severe future growth declines ranging from −20% to more than −50% by 2090, depending on the region and climate change scenario (i.e. CMIP6 SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5). Forecasted forest productivity losses are most striking towards the southern distribution limit of Fagus sylvatica, in regions where persisting atmospheric high-pressure systems are expected to increase drought severity. The projected 21st century growth changes across Europe indicate serious ecological and economic consequences that require immediate forest adaptation.

Details

OriginalspracheEnglisch
Aufsatznummer163
FachzeitschriftCommunications Biology
Jahrgang5
Ausgabenummer1
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - 10 März 2022
Peer-Review-StatusJa

Externe IDs

Scopus 85126223430
ORCID /0000-0002-5218-6682/work/168720224
PubMed 35273334

Schlagworte

Ziele für nachhaltige Entwicklung