Binary regression: Total gain in positive and negative predictive values

Publikation: Beitrag in FachzeitschriftForschungsartikelBeigetragenBegutachtung

Beitragende

Abstract

Models that predict disease incidence or disease recurrence are attractive for clinicians as well as for patients. The usefulness of a risk prediction model is linked to the two questions whether the observed outcome is confirmed by the prediction and whether the risk prediction is accurate in predicting the future outcome, respectively. The first phrasing of the question is linked to considering sensitivity and specificity and the latter to the positive and negative predictive values. We present the measures of standardized total gain in positive and negative predictive values dealing with the performance or accuracy of the prediction model for a binary outcome. Both measures provide a useful tool for assessing the performance or accuracy of a set of predictor variables for the prediction of a binary outcome. This concept is a tool for evaluating the optimal prediction model in future research.

Details

OriginalspracheEnglisch
Seiten (von - bis)808-823
Seitenumfang16
FachzeitschriftBiometrical Journal
Jahrgang54
Ausgabenummer6
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - Nov. 2012
Peer-Review-StatusJa

Externe IDs

PubMed 23044820

Schlagworte

Schlagwörter

  • Binary regression, Negative predictive value, Positive predictive value, Total gain