Artificial neural network modeling enhances risk stratification and can reduce downstream testing for patients with suspected acute coronary syndromes, negative cardiac biomarkers, and normal ECGs

Publikation: Beitrag in FachzeitschriftForschungsartikelBeigetragenBegutachtung

Beitragende

  • Hussain A. Isma’eel - , American University of Beirut, Cleveland Clinic Foundation (Autor:in)
  • Paul C. Cremer - , Cleveland Clinic Foundation (Autor:in)
  • Shaden Khalaf - , Cleveland Clinic Foundation (Autor:in)
  • Mohamad M. Almedawar - , Medizinische Klinik und Poliklinik III, Technische Universität Dresden, American University of Beirut (Autor:in)
  • Imad H. Elhajj - , American University of Beirut (Autor:in)
  • George E. Sakr - , American University of Beirut, Saint Joseph University (Autor:in)
  • Wael A. Jaber - , Cleveland Clinic Foundation (Autor:in)

Abstract

Despite uncertain yield, guidelines endorse routine stress myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) for patients with suspected acute coronary syndromes, unremarkable serial electrocardiograms, and negative troponin measurements. In these patients, outcome prediction and risk stratification models could spare unnecessary testing. This study therefore investigated the use of artificial neural networks (ANN) to improve risk stratification and prediction of MPI and angiographic results. We retrospectively identified 5354 consecutive patients referred from the emergency department for rest-stress MPI after serial negative troponins and normal ECGs. Patients were risk stratified according to thrombolysis in myocardial infarction (TIMI) scores, ischemia was defined as >5 % reversible perfusion defect, and obstructive coronary artery disease was defined as >50 % angiographic obstruction. For ANN, the network architecture employed a systematic method where the number of neurons is changed incrementally, and bootstrapping was performed to evaluate the accuracy of the models. Compared to TIMI scores, ANN models provided improved discriminatory power. With regards to MPI, an ANN model could reduce testing by 59 % and maintain a 96 % negative predictive value (NPV) for ruling out ischemia. Application of an ANN model could also avoid 73 % of invasive coronary angiograms while maintaining a 98 % NPV for detecting obstructive CAD. An online calculator for clinical use was created using these models. The ANN models improved risk stratification when compared to the TIMI score. Our calculator could also reduce downstream testing while maintaining an excellent NPV, though further study is needed before the calculator can be used clinically.

Details

OriginalspracheEnglisch
Seiten (von - bis)687-696
Seitenumfang10
FachzeitschriftInternational Journal of Cardiovascular Imaging
Jahrgang32
Ausgabenummer4
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - 1 Apr. 2016
Peer-Review-StatusJa

Externe IDs

PubMed 26626458
ORCID /0009-0004-4894-2360/work/142240731

Schlagworte

Schlagwörter

  • Artificial neural networks, Myocardial perfusion imaging, Single-photon emission computed tomography, Thrombolysis in myocardial infarction score

Bibliotheksschlagworte